Fast Ejendom (Denmark) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 115.47

FED Stock  DKK 117.00  1.00  0.86%   
Fast Ejendom's future price is the expected price of Fast Ejendom instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Fast Ejendom performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Fast Ejendom Backtesting, Fast Ejendom Valuation, Fast Ejendom Correlation, Fast Ejendom Hype Analysis, Fast Ejendom Volatility, Fast Ejendom History as well as Fast Ejendom Performance.
  
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Fast Ejendom Target Price Odds to finish below 115.47

The tendency of Fast Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to kr 115.47  or more in 90 days
 117.00 90 days 115.47 
about 43.88
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Fast Ejendom to drop to kr 115.47  or more in 90 days from now is about 43.88 (This Fast Ejendom probability density function shows the probability of Fast Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Fast Ejendom price to stay between kr 115.47  and its current price of kr117.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 25.8 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Fast Ejendom has a beta of 0.26. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Fast Ejendom average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Fast Ejendom will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Fast Ejendom has an alpha of 0.0076, implying that it can generate a 0.007638 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Fast Ejendom Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Fast Ejendom

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Fast Ejendom. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
115.62117.00118.38
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
96.4897.86128.70
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
114.16115.53116.91
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
115.39116.33117.28
Details

Fast Ejendom Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Fast Ejendom is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Fast Ejendom's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Fast Ejendom, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Fast Ejendom within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.01
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.26
σ
Overall volatility
2.28
Ir
Information ratio -0.06

Fast Ejendom Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Fast Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Fast Ejendom's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Fast Ejendom's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding2.6 M

Fast Ejendom Technical Analysis

Fast Ejendom's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Fast Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Fast Ejendom. In general, you should focus on analyzing Fast Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Fast Ejendom Predictive Forecast Models

Fast Ejendom's time-series forecasting models is one of many Fast Ejendom's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Fast Ejendom's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Fast Ejendom in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Fast Ejendom's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Fast Ejendom options trading.

Other Information on Investing in Fast Stock

Fast Ejendom financial ratios help investors to determine whether Fast Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Fast with respect to the benefits of owning Fast Ejendom security.