Feper SA (Romania) Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0.23

FEP Stock   0.20  0.02  9.09%   
Feper SA's future price is the expected price of Feper SA instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Feper SA performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Feper SA Backtesting, Feper SA Valuation, Feper SA Correlation, Feper SA Hype Analysis, Feper SA Volatility, Feper SA History as well as Feper SA Performance.
  
Please specify Feper SA's target price for which you would like Feper SA odds to be computed.

Feper SA Target Price Odds to finish below 0.23

The tendency of Feper Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under  0.23  after 90 days
 0.20 90 days 0.23 
about 97.0
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Feper SA to stay under  0.23  after 90 days from now is about 97.0 (This Feper SA probability density function shows the probability of Feper Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Feper SA price to stay between its current price of  0.20  and  0.23  at the end of the 90-day period is about 19.36 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.28 . This usually indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Feper SA will likely underperform. Additionally Feper SA has an alpha of 0.6207, implying that it can generate a 0.62 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Feper SA Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Feper SA

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Feper SA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.010.205.62
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.010.165.58
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
00.235.65
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.170.200.22
Details

Feper SA Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Feper SA is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Feper SA's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Feper SA, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Feper SA within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.62
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.28
σ
Overall volatility
0.03
Ir
Information ratio 0.12

Feper SA Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Feper SA for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Feper SA can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Feper SA is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Feper SA has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Feper SA appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues

Feper SA Technical Analysis

Feper SA's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Feper Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Feper SA. In general, you should focus on analyzing Feper Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Feper SA Predictive Forecast Models

Feper SA's time-series forecasting models is one of many Feper SA's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Feper SA's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Feper SA

Checking the ongoing alerts about Feper SA for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Feper SA help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Feper SA is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Feper SA has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Feper SA appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues

Other Information on Investing in Feper Stock

Feper SA financial ratios help investors to determine whether Feper Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Feper with respect to the benefits of owning Feper SA security.