Cia De (Brazil) Chance of Future Preferred Stock Price Finishing Under 6.20
| FESA4 Preferred Stock | BRL 7.93 0.01 0.13% |
Cia |
Cia De Target Price Odds to finish below 6.20
The tendency of Cia Preferred Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to R$ 6.20 or more in 90 days |
| 7.93 | 90 days | 6.20 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Cia De to drop to R$ 6.20 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Cia de Ferro probability density function shows the probability of Cia Preferred Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Cia de Ferro price to stay between R$ 6.20 and its current price of R$7.93 at the end of the 90-day period is about 69.88 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Cia De has a beta of 0.5. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Cia De average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Cia de Ferro will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Cia de Ferro has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Cia De Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Cia De
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Cia de Ferro. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the preferred stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the preferred stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Cia De Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Cia De is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Cia De's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Cia de Ferro, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Cia De within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.16 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.50 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.23 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.12 |
Cia De Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Cia De for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Cia de Ferro can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Cia de Ferro generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 26.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Cia De Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Cia Preferred Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Cia De's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Cia De's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 85.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 602.2 M |
Cia De Technical Analysis
Cia De's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Cia Preferred Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Cia de Ferro. In general, you should focus on analyzing Cia Preferred Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Cia De Predictive Forecast Models
Cia De's time-series forecasting models is one of many Cia De's preferred stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Cia De's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the preferred stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Cia de Ferro
Checking the ongoing alerts about Cia De for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Cia de Ferro help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Cia de Ferro generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 26.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Additional Tools for Cia Preferred Stock Analysis
When running Cia De's price analysis, check to measure Cia De's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Cia De is operating at the current time. Most of Cia De's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Cia De's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Cia De's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Cia De to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.