Futurefuel Corp Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 2.22
| FF Stock | USD 5.18 0.04 0.78% |
FutureFuel |
FutureFuel Corp Target Price Odds to finish below 2.22
The tendency of FutureFuel Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 2.22 or more in 90 days |
| 5.18 | 90 days | 2.22 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of FutureFuel Corp to drop to $ 2.22 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This FutureFuel Corp probability density function shows the probability of FutureFuel Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of FutureFuel Corp price to stay between $ 2.22 and its current price of $5.18 at the end of the 90-day period is under 4.
Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon FutureFuel Corp has a beta of 0.6. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, FutureFuel Corp average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding FutureFuel Corp will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally FutureFuel Corp has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. FutureFuel Corp Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for FutureFuel Corp
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as FutureFuel Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.FutureFuel Corp Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. FutureFuel Corp is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the FutureFuel Corp's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold FutureFuel Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of FutureFuel Corp within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.28 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.60 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.36 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.11 |
FutureFuel Corp Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of FutureFuel Corp for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for FutureFuel Corp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| FutureFuel Corp generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| FutureFuel Corp has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| About 41.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Acquisition by Donald Bedell of 10000 shares of FutureFuel Corp at 5.1 subject to Rule 16b-3 |
FutureFuel Corp Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of FutureFuel Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential FutureFuel Corp's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. FutureFuel Corp's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 43.8 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 219.4 M |
FutureFuel Corp Technical Analysis
FutureFuel Corp's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. FutureFuel Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of FutureFuel Corp. In general, you should focus on analyzing FutureFuel Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
FutureFuel Corp Predictive Forecast Models
FutureFuel Corp's time-series forecasting models is one of many FutureFuel Corp's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary FutureFuel Corp's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about FutureFuel Corp
Checking the ongoing alerts about FutureFuel Corp for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for FutureFuel Corp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| FutureFuel Corp generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| FutureFuel Corp has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| About 41.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Acquisition by Donald Bedell of 10000 shares of FutureFuel Corp at 5.1 subject to Rule 16b-3 |
Check out FutureFuel Corp Backtesting, FutureFuel Corp Valuation, FutureFuel Corp Correlation, FutureFuel Corp Hype Analysis, FutureFuel Corp Volatility, FutureFuel Corp History as well as FutureFuel Corp Performance. For more detail on how to invest in FutureFuel Stock please use our How to Invest in FutureFuel Corp guide.You can also try the Portfolio Optimization module to compute new portfolio that will generate highest expected return given your specified tolerance for risk.
Is Specialty Chemicals space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of FutureFuel Corp. If investors know FutureFuel will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about FutureFuel Corp listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.79) | Dividend Share 0.24 | Earnings Share 0.82 | Revenue Per Share 6.257 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.56) |
The market value of FutureFuel Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of FutureFuel that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of FutureFuel Corp's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is FutureFuel Corp's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because FutureFuel Corp's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect FutureFuel Corp's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between FutureFuel Corp's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if FutureFuel Corp is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, FutureFuel Corp's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.