Fox Factory (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 27.41
| FF0 Stock | EUR 27.41 0.74 2.77% |
Fox |
Fox Factory Target Price Odds to finish below 27.41
The tendency of Fox Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move below current price in 90 days |
| 27.41 | 90 days | 27.41 | about 9.79 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Fox Factory to move below current price in 90 days from now is about 9.79 (This Fox Factory Holding probability density function shows the probability of Fox Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Fox Factory Holding has a beta of -0.3. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Fox Factory are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Fox Factory Holding is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Fox Factory Holding has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Fox Factory Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Fox Factory
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Fox Factory Holding. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Fox Factory Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Fox Factory is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Fox Factory's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Fox Factory Holding, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Fox Factory within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.37 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.3 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.90 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.14 |
Fox Factory Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Fox Factory for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Fox Factory Holding can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Fox Factory Holding generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Over 100.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors |
Fox Factory Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Fox Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Fox Factory's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Fox Factory's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 42.3 M |
Fox Factory Technical Analysis
Fox Factory's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Fox Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Fox Factory Holding. In general, you should focus on analyzing Fox Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Fox Factory Predictive Forecast Models
Fox Factory's time-series forecasting models is one of many Fox Factory's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Fox Factory's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Fox Factory Holding
Checking the ongoing alerts about Fox Factory for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Fox Factory Holding help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Fox Factory Holding generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Over 100.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors |
Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Fox Stock
When determining whether Fox Factory Holding is a strong investment it is important to analyze Fox Factory's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Fox Factory's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Fox Stock, refer to the following important reports:Check out Fox Factory Backtesting, Fox Factory Valuation, Fox Factory Correlation, Fox Factory Hype Analysis, Fox Factory Volatility, Fox Factory History as well as Fox Factory Performance. You can also try the USA ETFs module to find actively traded Exchange Traded Funds (ETF) in USA.