Fa 529 Aggressive Fund Chance of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 39.66

FFCGX Fund  USD 40.30  0.15  0.37%   
Fa 529's future price is the expected price of Fa 529 instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Fa 529 Aggressive performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Fa 529 Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Fa 529 Correlation, Fa 529 Hype Analysis, Fa 529 Volatility, Fa 529 History as well as Fa 529 Performance.
  
Please specify Fa 529's target price for which you would like Fa 529 odds to be computed.

Fa 529 Target Price Odds to finish below 39.66

The tendency of FFCGX Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 39.66  or more in 90 days
 40.30 90 days 39.66 
about 53.34
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Fa 529 to drop to $ 39.66  or more in 90 days from now is about 53.34 (This Fa 529 Aggressive probability density function shows the probability of FFCGX Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Fa 529 Aggressive price to stay between $ 39.66  and its current price of $40.3 at the end of the 90-day period is about 30.2 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Fa 529 has a beta of 0.78. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Fa 529 average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Fa 529 Aggressive will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Fa 529 Aggressive has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Fa 529 Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Fa 529

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Fa 529 Aggressive. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
39.5540.3041.05
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
39.2640.0140.76
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
38.9039.6640.41
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
39.3640.0540.74
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Fa 529. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Fa 529's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Fa 529's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Fa 529 Aggressive.

Fa 529 Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Fa 529 is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Fa 529's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Fa 529 Aggressive, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Fa 529 within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.05
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.78
σ
Overall volatility
0.71
Ir
Information ratio -0.09

Fa 529 Technical Analysis

Fa 529's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. FFCGX Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Fa 529 Aggressive. In general, you should focus on analyzing FFCGX Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Fa 529 Predictive Forecast Models

Fa 529's time-series forecasting models is one of many Fa 529's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Fa 529's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Fa 529 in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Fa 529's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Fa 529 options trading.

Other Information on Investing in FFCGX Mutual Fund

Fa 529 financial ratios help investors to determine whether FFCGX Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in FFCGX with respect to the benefits of owning Fa 529 security.
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