Fauji Foods (Pakistan) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 10.9
| FFL Stock | 11.74 0.27 2.35% |
Fauji |
Fauji Foods Target Price Odds to finish over 10.9
The tendency of Fauji Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above 10.90 in 90 days |
| 11.74 | 90 days | 10.90 | nearly 4.82 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Fauji Foods to stay above 10.90 in 90 days from now is nearly 4.82 (This Fauji Foods probability density function shows the probability of Fauji Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Fauji Foods price to stay between 10.90 and its current price of 11.74 at the end of the 90-day period is nearly 4.32 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Fauji Foods has a beta of -0.23. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Fauji Foods are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Fauji Foods is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Fauji Foods has an alpha of 0.5092, implying that it can generate a 0.51 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Fauji Foods Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Fauji Foods
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Fauji Foods. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Fauji Foods Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Fauji Foods is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Fauji Foods' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Fauji Foods, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Fauji Foods within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.51 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.23 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.92 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.15 |
Fauji Foods Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Fauji Foods for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Fauji Foods can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Fauji Foods has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 8.59 B. Net Loss for the year was (1.25 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
| Fauji Foods generates negative cash flow from operations |
Fauji Foods Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Fauji Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Fauji Foods' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Fauji Foods' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.6 B | |
| Short Long Term Debt | 2 B |
Fauji Foods Technical Analysis
Fauji Foods' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Fauji Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Fauji Foods. In general, you should focus on analyzing Fauji Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Fauji Foods Predictive Forecast Models
Fauji Foods' time-series forecasting models is one of many Fauji Foods' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Fauji Foods' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Fauji Foods
Checking the ongoing alerts about Fauji Foods for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Fauji Foods help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Fauji Foods has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 8.59 B. Net Loss for the year was (1.25 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
| Fauji Foods generates negative cash flow from operations |
Additional Tools for Fauji Stock Analysis
When running Fauji Foods' price analysis, check to measure Fauji Foods' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Fauji Foods is operating at the current time. Most of Fauji Foods' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Fauji Foods' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Fauji Foods' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Fauji Foods to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.