First Farmers Financial Stock Probability of Future OTC Stock Price Finishing Under 66.58

FFMR Stock  USD 65.75  1.24  1.85%   
First Farmers' future price is the expected price of First Farmers instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of First Farmers Financial performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out First Farmers Backtesting, First Farmers Valuation, First Farmers Correlation, First Farmers Hype Analysis, First Farmers Volatility, First Farmers History as well as First Farmers Performance.
  
Please specify First Farmers' target price for which you would like First Farmers odds to be computed.

First Farmers Target Price Odds to finish below 66.58

The tendency of First OTC Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under $ 66.58  after 90 days
 65.75 90 days 66.58 
more than 93.0
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of First Farmers to stay under $ 66.58  after 90 days from now is more than 93.0 (This First Farmers Financial probability density function shows the probability of First OTC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of First Farmers Financial price to stay between its current price of $ 65.75  and $ 66.58  at the end of the 90-day period is about 26.2 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days First Farmers Financial has a beta of -0.0079. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding First Farmers are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, First Farmers Financial is likely to outperform the market. Additionally First Farmers Financial has an alpha of 0.0144, implying that it can generate a 0.0144 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   First Farmers Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for First Farmers

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as First Farmers Financial. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
66.5866.9967.40
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
65.9666.3773.69
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
67.5968.0068.41
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
63.4764.9866.50
Details

First Farmers Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. First Farmers is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the First Farmers' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold First Farmers Financial, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of First Farmers within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.01
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.0079
σ
Overall volatility
0.77
Ir
Information ratio -0.28

First Farmers Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of First Farmers for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for First Farmers Financial can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
First Farmers generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

First Farmers Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of First OTC Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential First Farmers' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. First Farmers' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares OutstandingM

First Farmers Technical Analysis

First Farmers' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. First OTC Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of First Farmers Financial. In general, you should focus on analyzing First OTC Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

First Farmers Predictive Forecast Models

First Farmers' time-series forecasting models is one of many First Farmers' otc stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary First Farmers' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the otc stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about First Farmers Financial

Checking the ongoing alerts about First Farmers for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for First Farmers Financial help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
First Farmers generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Additional Tools for First OTC Stock Analysis

When running First Farmers' price analysis, check to measure First Farmers' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy First Farmers is operating at the current time. Most of First Farmers' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of First Farmers' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move First Farmers' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of First Farmers to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.