4front Ventures Corp Stock Probability of Future OTC Stock Price Finishing Under 0.03
| FFNTF Stock | USD 0.03 0.0003 0.94% |
4Front |
4Front Ventures Target Price Odds to finish below 0.03
The tendency of 4Front OTC Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 0.03 or more in 90 days |
| 0.03 | 90 days | 0.03 | roughly 2.43 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of 4Front Ventures to drop to $ 0.03 or more in 90 days from now is roughly 2.43 (This 4Front Ventures Corp probability density function shows the probability of 4Front OTC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of 4Front Ventures Corp price to stay between $ 0.03 and its current price of $0.0323 at the end of the 90-day period is roughly 2.06 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon 4Front Ventures Corp has a beta of -1.82. This usually indicates as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding 4Front Ventures Corp are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, 4Front Ventures is expected to outperform its benchmark. Additionally 4Front Ventures Corp has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. 4Front Ventures Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for 4Front Ventures
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as 4Front Ventures Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of 4Front Ventures' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
4Front Ventures Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. 4Front Ventures is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the 4Front Ventures' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold 4Front Ventures Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of 4Front Ventures within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.19 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -1.82 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.01 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.05 |
4Front Ventures Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of 4Front Ventures for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for 4Front Ventures Corp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| 4Front Ventures Corp generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| 4Front Ventures Corp has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| 4Front Ventures Corp has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| 4Front Ventures Corp has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| 4Front Ventures Corp has accumulated 64.62 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 3.72, implying the company greatly relies on financing operations through barrowing. 4Front Ventures Corp has a current ratio of 0.73, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist 4Front Ventures until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, 4Front Ventures' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like 4Front Ventures Corp sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for 4Front to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about 4Front Ventures' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the revenue of 104.57 M. Net Loss for the year was (38.31 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 49.4 M. | |
| About 34.0% of 4Front Ventures shares are held by company insiders |
4Front Ventures Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of 4Front OTC Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential 4Front Ventures' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. 4Front Ventures' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 594.2 M |
4Front Ventures Technical Analysis
4Front Ventures' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. 4Front OTC Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of 4Front Ventures Corp. In general, you should focus on analyzing 4Front OTC Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
4Front Ventures Predictive Forecast Models
4Front Ventures' time-series forecasting models is one of many 4Front Ventures' otc stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary 4Front Ventures' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the otc stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about 4Front Ventures Corp
Checking the ongoing alerts about 4Front Ventures for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for 4Front Ventures Corp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| 4Front Ventures Corp generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| 4Front Ventures Corp has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| 4Front Ventures Corp has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| 4Front Ventures Corp has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| 4Front Ventures Corp has accumulated 64.62 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 3.72, implying the company greatly relies on financing operations through barrowing. 4Front Ventures Corp has a current ratio of 0.73, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist 4Front Ventures until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, 4Front Ventures' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like 4Front Ventures Corp sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for 4Front to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about 4Front Ventures' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the revenue of 104.57 M. Net Loss for the year was (38.31 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 49.4 M. | |
| About 34.0% of 4Front Ventures shares are held by company insiders |
Other Information on Investing in 4Front OTC Stock
4Front Ventures financial ratios help investors to determine whether 4Front OTC Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in 4Front with respect to the benefits of owning 4Front Ventures security.