Flight Centre Travel Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Under 13.9
| FGETFDelisted Stock | USD 14.20 0.00 0.00% |
Flight |
Flight Centre Target Price Odds to finish below 13.9
The tendency of Flight Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 13.90 or more in 90 days |
| 14.20 | 90 days | 13.90 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Flight Centre to drop to $ 13.90 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Flight Centre Travel probability density function shows the probability of Flight Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Flight Centre Travel price to stay between $ 13.90 and its current price of $14.2 at the end of the 90-day period is about 71.24 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Flight Centre has the beta coefficient that is very close to zero. This usually indicates the returns on DOW JONES INDUSTRIAL and Flight Centre do not appear to be reactive. Additionally It does not look like Flight Centre's alpha can have any bearing on the current valuation. Flight Centre Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Flight Centre
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Flight Centre Travel. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Flight Centre's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Flight Centre Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Flight Centre is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Flight Centre's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Flight Centre Travel, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Flight Centre within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.00 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.00 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.09 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.66 |
Flight Centre Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Flight Centre for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Flight Centre Travel can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Flight Centre Travel is not yet fully synchronised with the market data | |
| Flight Centre Travel generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Flight Centre Travel has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 1.01 B. Net Loss for the year was (286.65 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 112.32 M. | |
| Flight Centre Travel has accumulated about 866.15 M in cash with (101.37 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 4.34. | |
| Roughly 20.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Flight Centre Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Flight Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Flight Centre's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Flight Centre's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 199.8 M |
Flight Centre Technical Analysis
Flight Centre's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Flight Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Flight Centre Travel. In general, you should focus on analyzing Flight Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Flight Centre Predictive Forecast Models
Flight Centre's time-series forecasting models is one of many Flight Centre's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Flight Centre's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Flight Centre Travel
Checking the ongoing alerts about Flight Centre for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Flight Centre Travel help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Flight Centre Travel is not yet fully synchronised with the market data | |
| Flight Centre Travel generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Flight Centre Travel has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 1.01 B. Net Loss for the year was (286.65 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 112.32 M. | |
| Flight Centre Travel has accumulated about 866.15 M in cash with (101.37 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 4.34. | |
| Roughly 20.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Check out Investing Opportunities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in estimate. You can also try the Correlation Analysis module to reduce portfolio risk simply by holding instruments which are not perfectly correlated.
Other Consideration for investing in Flight Pink Sheet
If you are still planning to invest in Flight Centre Travel check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Flight Centre's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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