FG Merger Corp Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 10.35

FGMCUDelisted Stock  USD 10.66  0.00  0.00%   
FG Merger's future price is the expected price of FG Merger instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of FG Merger Corp performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Investing Opportunities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in main economic indicators.
  
Please specify FG Merger's target price for which you would like FG Merger odds to be computed.

FG Merger Target Price Odds to finish below 10.35

The tendency of FGMCU Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 10.35  or more in 90 days
 10.66 90 days 10.35 
under 4
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of FG Merger to drop to $ 10.35  or more in 90 days from now is under 4 (This FG Merger Corp probability density function shows the probability of FGMCU Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of FG Merger Corp price to stay between $ 10.35  and its current price of $10.66 at the end of the 90-day period is about 69.23 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon FG Merger has a beta of 0.11. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, FG Merger average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding FG Merger Corp will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally FG Merger Corp has an alpha of 0.0113, implying that it can generate a 0.0113 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   FG Merger Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for FG Merger

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as FG Merger Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of FG Merger's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
10.6610.6610.66
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
8.958.9511.73
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
10.7510.7510.75
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
10.6410.6710.69
Details

FG Merger Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. FG Merger is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the FG Merger's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold FG Merger Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of FG Merger within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.01
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.11
σ
Overall volatility
0.13
Ir
Information ratio -0.09

FG Merger Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of FG Merger for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for FG Merger Corp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
FG Merger Corp is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
FG Merger Corp has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
Net Loss for the year was (125.79 K) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.

FG Merger Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of FGMCU Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential FG Merger's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. FG Merger's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding8.8 M
Cash And Short Term Investments521.9 K

FG Merger Technical Analysis

FG Merger's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. FGMCU Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of FG Merger Corp. In general, you should focus on analyzing FGMCU Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

FG Merger Predictive Forecast Models

FG Merger's time-series forecasting models is one of many FG Merger's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary FG Merger's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about FG Merger Corp

Checking the ongoing alerts about FG Merger for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for FG Merger Corp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
FG Merger Corp is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
FG Merger Corp has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
Net Loss for the year was (125.79 K) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.
Check out Investing Opportunities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in main economic indicators.
You can also try the Commodity Directory module to find actively traded commodities issued by global exchanges.

Other Consideration for investing in FGMCU Stock

If you are still planning to invest in FG Merger Corp check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the FG Merger's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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