Franklin Gold And Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 21.56

FGPMX Fund  USD 23.73  0.08  0.34%   
Franklin Gold's future price is the expected price of Franklin Gold instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Franklin Gold And performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Franklin Gold Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Franklin Gold Correlation, Franklin Gold Hype Analysis, Franklin Gold Volatility, Franklin Gold History as well as Franklin Gold Performance.
  
Please specify Franklin Gold's target price for which you would like Franklin Gold odds to be computed.

Franklin Gold Target Price Odds to finish below 21.56

The tendency of Franklin Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 21.56  or more in 90 days
 23.73 90 days 21.56 
roughly 2.03
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Franklin Gold to drop to $ 21.56  or more in 90 days from now is roughly 2.03 (This Franklin Gold And probability density function shows the probability of Franklin Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Franklin Gold And price to stay between $ 21.56  and its current price of $23.73 at the end of the 90-day period is about 29.43 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Franklin Gold has a beta of 0.22. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Franklin Gold average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Franklin Gold And will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Franklin Gold And has an alpha of 0.125, implying that it can generate a 0.13 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Franklin Gold Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Franklin Gold

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Franklin Gold And. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
22.0323.7325.43
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
20.3322.0323.73
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
23.1324.8326.52
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
21.2824.4127.53
Details

Franklin Gold Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Franklin Gold is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Franklin Gold's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Franklin Gold And, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Franklin Gold within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.13
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.22
σ
Overall volatility
1.39
Ir
Information ratio 0.02

Franklin Gold Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Franklin Gold for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Franklin Gold And can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund generated-3.0 ten year return of -3.0%
Franklin Gold And retains 99.41% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities

Franklin Gold Technical Analysis

Franklin Gold's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Franklin Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Franklin Gold And. In general, you should focus on analyzing Franklin Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Franklin Gold Predictive Forecast Models

Franklin Gold's time-series forecasting models is one of many Franklin Gold's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Franklin Gold's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Franklin Gold And

Checking the ongoing alerts about Franklin Gold for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Franklin Gold And help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund generated-3.0 ten year return of -3.0%
Franklin Gold And retains 99.41% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities

Other Information on Investing in Franklin Mutual Fund

Franklin Gold financial ratios help investors to determine whether Franklin Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Franklin with respect to the benefits of owning Franklin Gold security.
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