BBVA Sociedad (Peru) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 4.01
| FIBPRIME | 4.90 0.04 0.81% |
BBVA |
BBVA Sociedad Target Price Odds to finish below 4.01
The tendency of BBVA Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 4.01 or more in 90 days |
| 4.90 | 90 days | 4.01 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of BBVA Sociedad to drop to 4.01 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This BBVA Sociedad Titulizadora probability density function shows the probability of BBVA Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of BBVA Sociedad Tituli price to stay between 4.01 and its current price of 4.9 at the end of the 90-day period is about 16.56 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon BBVA Sociedad Titulizadora has a beta of -0.26. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding BBVA Sociedad are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, BBVA Sociedad Titulizadora is likely to outperform the market. Additionally BBVA Sociedad Titulizadora has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. BBVA Sociedad Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for BBVA Sociedad
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as BBVA Sociedad Tituli. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.BBVA Sociedad Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. BBVA Sociedad is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the BBVA Sociedad's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold BBVA Sociedad Titulizadora, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of BBVA Sociedad within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.24 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.26 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.34 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.23 |
BBVA Sociedad Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of BBVA Sociedad for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for BBVA Sociedad Tituli can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| BBVA Sociedad Tituli generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |
BBVA Sociedad Technical Analysis
BBVA Sociedad's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. BBVA Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of BBVA Sociedad Titulizadora. In general, you should focus on analyzing BBVA Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
BBVA Sociedad Predictive Forecast Models
BBVA Sociedad's time-series forecasting models is one of many BBVA Sociedad's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary BBVA Sociedad's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about BBVA Sociedad Tituli
Checking the ongoing alerts about BBVA Sociedad for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for BBVA Sociedad Tituli help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| BBVA Sociedad Tituli generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |