FIBRA Macquarie (Mexico) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 31.81
| FIBRAMQ12 | MXN 32.46 0.04 0.12% |
FIBRA |
FIBRA Macquarie Target Price Odds to finish below 31.81
The tendency of FIBRA Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 31.81 or more in 90 days |
| 32.46 | 90 days | 31.81 | about 59.59 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of FIBRA Macquarie to drop to 31.81 or more in 90 days from now is about 59.59 (This FIBRA Macquarie Mxico probability density function shows the probability of FIBRA Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of FIBRA Macquarie Mxico price to stay between 31.81 and its current price of 32.46 at the end of the 90-day period is about 24.15 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon FIBRA Macquarie Mxico has a beta of -0.2. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding FIBRA Macquarie are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, FIBRA Macquarie Mxico is likely to outperform the market. Additionally FIBRA Macquarie Mxico has an alpha of 0.1296, implying that it can generate a 0.13 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). FIBRA Macquarie Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for FIBRA Macquarie
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as FIBRA Macquarie Mxico. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.FIBRA Macquarie Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. FIBRA Macquarie is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the FIBRA Macquarie's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold FIBRA Macquarie Mxico, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of FIBRA Macquarie within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.13 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.2 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.87 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.01 |
FIBRA Macquarie Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of FIBRA Macquarie for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for FIBRA Macquarie Mxico can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| FIBRA Macquarie Mxico has accumulated 16.2 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.49, which is about average as compared to similar companies. FIBRA Macquarie Mxico has a current ratio of 0.2, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist FIBRA Macquarie until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, FIBRA Macquarie's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like FIBRA Macquarie Mxico sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for FIBRA to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about FIBRA Macquarie's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. |
FIBRA Macquarie Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of FIBRA Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential FIBRA Macquarie's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. FIBRA Macquarie's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 761.3 M |
FIBRA Macquarie Technical Analysis
FIBRA Macquarie's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. FIBRA Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of FIBRA Macquarie Mxico. In general, you should focus on analyzing FIBRA Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
FIBRA Macquarie Predictive Forecast Models
FIBRA Macquarie's time-series forecasting models is one of many FIBRA Macquarie's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary FIBRA Macquarie's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about FIBRA Macquarie Mxico
Checking the ongoing alerts about FIBRA Macquarie for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for FIBRA Macquarie Mxico help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| FIBRA Macquarie Mxico has accumulated 16.2 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.49, which is about average as compared to similar companies. FIBRA Macquarie Mxico has a current ratio of 0.2, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist FIBRA Macquarie until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, FIBRA Macquarie's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like FIBRA Macquarie Mxico sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for FIBRA to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about FIBRA Macquarie's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. |
Additional Tools for FIBRA Stock Analysis
When running FIBRA Macquarie's price analysis, check to measure FIBRA Macquarie's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy FIBRA Macquarie is operating at the current time. Most of FIBRA Macquarie's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of FIBRA Macquarie's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move FIBRA Macquarie's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of FIBRA Macquarie to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.