Fiem Industries (India) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 1493.03

FIEMIND Stock   1,527  3.00  0.20%   
Fiem Industries' future price is the expected price of Fiem Industries instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Fiem Industries Limited performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Fiem Industries Backtesting, Fiem Industries Valuation, Fiem Industries Correlation, Fiem Industries Hype Analysis, Fiem Industries Volatility, Fiem Industries History as well as Fiem Industries Performance.
  
Please specify Fiem Industries' target price for which you would like Fiem Industries odds to be computed.

Fiem Industries Target Price Odds to finish over 1493.03

The tendency of Fiem Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above  1,493  in 90 days
 1,527 90 days 1,493 
about 90.97
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Fiem Industries to stay above  1,493  in 90 days from now is about 90.97 (This Fiem Industries Limited probability density function shows the probability of Fiem Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Fiem Industries price to stay between  1,493  and its current price of 1526.75 at the end of the 90-day period is about 8.64 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Fiem Industries has a beta of 0.47. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Fiem Industries average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Fiem Industries Limited will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Fiem Industries Limited has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Fiem Industries Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Fiem Industries

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Fiem Industries. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
1,5251,5271,529
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
1,2501,2521,679
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
1,4951,4971,500
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
13.7513.7513.75
Details

Fiem Industries Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Fiem Industries is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Fiem Industries' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Fiem Industries Limited, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Fiem Industries within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.1
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.47
σ
Overall volatility
82.05
Ir
Information ratio -0.08

Fiem Industries Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Fiem Industries for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Fiem Industries can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Fiem Industries is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
About 59.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Impressive Earnings May Not Tell The Whole Story For Fiem Industries - Simply Wall St

Fiem Industries Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Fiem Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Fiem Industries' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Fiem Industries' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding26.3 M
Cash And Short Term Investments2.1 B

Fiem Industries Technical Analysis

Fiem Industries' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Fiem Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Fiem Industries Limited. In general, you should focus on analyzing Fiem Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Fiem Industries Predictive Forecast Models

Fiem Industries' time-series forecasting models is one of many Fiem Industries' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Fiem Industries' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Fiem Industries

Checking the ongoing alerts about Fiem Industries for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Fiem Industries help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Fiem Industries is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
About 59.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Impressive Earnings May Not Tell The Whole Story For Fiem Industries - Simply Wall St

Other Information on Investing in Fiem Stock

Fiem Industries financial ratios help investors to determine whether Fiem Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Fiem with respect to the benefits of owning Fiem Industries security.