Fimperkasa Utama (Indonesia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 44.67
| FIMP Stock | IDR 110.00 12.00 9.84% |
Fimperkasa |
Fimperkasa Utama Target Price Odds to finish below 44.67
The tendency of Fimperkasa Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 44.67 or more in 90 days |
| 110.00 | 90 days | 44.67 | about 18.44 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Fimperkasa Utama to drop to 44.67 or more in 90 days from now is about 18.44 (This Fimperkasa Utama Tbk probability density function shows the probability of Fimperkasa Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Fimperkasa Utama Tbk price to stay between 44.67 and its current price of 110.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 62.53 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.07 . This usually indicates Fimperkasa Utama Tbk market returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Fimperkasa Utama is expected to follow. Moreover Fimperkasa Utama Tbk has an alpha of 1.5768, implying that it can generate a 1.58 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Fimperkasa Utama Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Fimperkasa Utama
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Fimperkasa Utama Tbk. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Fimperkasa Utama Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Fimperkasa Utama is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Fimperkasa Utama's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Fimperkasa Utama Tbk, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Fimperkasa Utama within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 1.58 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.07 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 36.79 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.41 |
Fimperkasa Utama Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Fimperkasa Utama for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Fimperkasa Utama Tbk can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Fimperkasa Utama Tbk appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| The company reported the revenue of 12.19 B. Net Loss for the year was (1.87 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 42.75 M. | |
| Fimperkasa Utama generates negative cash flow from operations |
Fimperkasa Utama Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Fimperkasa Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Fimperkasa Utama's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Fimperkasa Utama's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 400 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 51 M |
Fimperkasa Utama Technical Analysis
Fimperkasa Utama's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Fimperkasa Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Fimperkasa Utama Tbk. In general, you should focus on analyzing Fimperkasa Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Fimperkasa Utama Predictive Forecast Models
Fimperkasa Utama's time-series forecasting models is one of many Fimperkasa Utama's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Fimperkasa Utama's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Fimperkasa Utama Tbk
Checking the ongoing alerts about Fimperkasa Utama for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Fimperkasa Utama Tbk help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Fimperkasa Utama Tbk appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| The company reported the revenue of 12.19 B. Net Loss for the year was (1.87 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 42.75 M. | |
| Fimperkasa Utama generates negative cash flow from operations |
Other Information on Investing in Fimperkasa Stock
Fimperkasa Utama financial ratios help investors to determine whether Fimperkasa Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Fimperkasa with respect to the benefits of owning Fimperkasa Utama security.