Fino Payments (India) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 359.46
| FINOPB Stock | 370.30 9.40 2.60% |
Fino |
Fino Payments Target Price Odds to finish over 359.46
The tendency of Fino Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above 359.46 in 90 days |
| 370.30 | 90 days | 359.46 | about 85.18 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Fino Payments to stay above 359.46 in 90 days from now is about 85.18 (This Fino Payments Bank probability density function shows the probability of Fino Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Fino Payments Bank price to stay between 359.46 and its current price of 370.3 at the end of the 90-day period is about 10.85 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Fino Payments has a beta of 0.42. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Fino Payments average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Fino Payments Bank will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Fino Payments Bank has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Fino Payments Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Fino Payments
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Fino Payments Bank. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Fino Payments Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Fino Payments is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Fino Payments' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Fino Payments Bank, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Fino Payments within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.17 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.42 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 27.74 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.08 |
Fino Payments Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Fino Payments for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Fino Payments Bank can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Fino Payments Bank generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Fino Payments Bank is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Fino Payments generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| About 76.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Fino Payments Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Fino Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Fino Payments' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Fino Payments' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 83.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 7.5 B |
Fino Payments Technical Analysis
Fino Payments' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Fino Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Fino Payments Bank. In general, you should focus on analyzing Fino Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Fino Payments Predictive Forecast Models
Fino Payments' time-series forecasting models is one of many Fino Payments' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Fino Payments' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Fino Payments Bank
Checking the ongoing alerts about Fino Payments for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Fino Payments Bank help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Fino Payments Bank generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Fino Payments Bank is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Fino Payments generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| About 76.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Fino Stock
Fino Payments financial ratios help investors to determine whether Fino Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Fino with respect to the benefits of owning Fino Payments security.