Angel Oak Financial Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 11.96
| FINS Stock | USD 12.63 0.07 0.56% |
Angel |
Angel Oak Target Price Odds to finish below 11.96
The tendency of Angel Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 11.96 or more in 90 days |
| 12.63 | 90 days | 11.96 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Angel Oak to drop to $ 11.96 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Angel Oak Financial probability density function shows the probability of Angel Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Angel Oak Financial price to stay between $ 11.96 and its current price of $12.63 at the end of the 90-day period is about 18.39 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Angel Oak has a beta of 0.0918. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Angel Oak average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Angel Oak Financial will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Angel Oak Financial has an alpha of 8.0E-4, implying that it can generate a 7.56E-4 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Angel Oak Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Angel Oak
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Angel Oak Financial. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Angel Oak Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Angel Oak is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Angel Oak's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Angel Oak Financial, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Angel Oak within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.0008 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.09 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.20 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.15 |
Angel Oak Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Angel Oak for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Angel Oak Financial can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Angel Oak Financial is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Angel Oak Financial currently holds 139.29 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 0.44, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Angel Oak Financial has a current ratio of 0.07, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Angel Oak's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity. | |
| Angel Oak Financial has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| On 31st of October 2024 Angel Oak paid $ 0.109 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from seekingalpha.com: Angel Oak Financial Strategies Income Term declares 0.109 dividend |
Angel Oak Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Angel Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Angel Oak's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Angel Oak's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 25.3 M | |
| Dividends Paid | 30.3 M | |
| Forward Annual Dividend Rate | 1.31 |
Angel Oak Technical Analysis
Angel Oak's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Angel Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Angel Oak Financial. In general, you should focus on analyzing Angel Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Angel Oak Predictive Forecast Models
Angel Oak's time-series forecasting models is one of many Angel Oak's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Angel Oak's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Angel Oak Financial
Checking the ongoing alerts about Angel Oak for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Angel Oak Financial help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Angel Oak Financial is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Angel Oak Financial currently holds 139.29 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 0.44, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Angel Oak Financial has a current ratio of 0.07, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Angel Oak's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity. | |
| Angel Oak Financial has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| On 31st of October 2024 Angel Oak paid $ 0.109 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from seekingalpha.com: Angel Oak Financial Strategies Income Term declares 0.109 dividend |
Additional Tools for Angel Stock Analysis
When running Angel Oak's price analysis, check to measure Angel Oak's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Angel Oak is operating at the current time. Most of Angel Oak's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Angel Oak's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Angel Oak's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Angel Oak to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.