Angel Oak Financial Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 12.1

FINS Stock  USD 12.95  0.05  0.39%   
Angel Oak's future price is the expected price of Angel Oak instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Angel Oak Financial performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Angel Oak Backtesting, Angel Oak Valuation, Angel Oak Correlation, Angel Oak Hype Analysis, Angel Oak Volatility, Angel Oak History as well as Angel Oak Performance.
  
At this time, Angel Oak's Price Fair Value is comparatively stable compared to the past year. Please specify Angel Oak's target price for which you would like Angel Oak odds to be computed.

Angel Oak Target Price Odds to finish over 12.1

The tendency of Angel Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above $ 12.10  in 90 days
 12.95 90 days 12.10 
close to 99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Angel Oak to stay above $ 12.10  in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Angel Oak Financial probability density function shows the probability of Angel Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Angel Oak Financial price to stay between $ 12.10  and its current price of $12.95 at the end of the 90-day period is about 73.96 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Angel Oak has a beta of 0.12. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Angel Oak average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Angel Oak Financial will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Angel Oak Financial has an alpha of 0.0225, implying that it can generate a 0.0225 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Angel Oak Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Angel Oak

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Angel Oak Financial. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
12.3712.9013.43
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
12.3212.8513.38
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
12.5213.0513.58
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
12.5512.8113.06
Details

Angel Oak Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Angel Oak is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Angel Oak's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Angel Oak Financial, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Angel Oak within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.02
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.12
σ
Overall volatility
0.14
Ir
Information ratio -0.14

Angel Oak Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Angel Oak for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Angel Oak Financial can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Angel Oak Financial is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
Angel Oak Financial currently holds 139.29 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 0.44, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Angel Oak Financial has a current ratio of 0.07, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Angel Oak's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity.
Angel Oak Financial has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
On 29th of November 2024 Angel Oak paid $ 0.109 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from news.google.com: KBRA Assigns Preliminary Ratings to Angel Oak Mortgage Trust 2024-13 - Yahoo Finance

Angel Oak Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Angel Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Angel Oak's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Angel Oak's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding25.3 M
Dividends Paid30.3 M
Forward Annual Dividend Rate1.31

Angel Oak Technical Analysis

Angel Oak's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Angel Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Angel Oak Financial. In general, you should focus on analyzing Angel Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Angel Oak Predictive Forecast Models

Angel Oak's time-series forecasting models is one of many Angel Oak's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Angel Oak's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Angel Oak Financial

Checking the ongoing alerts about Angel Oak for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Angel Oak Financial help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Angel Oak Financial is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
Angel Oak Financial currently holds 139.29 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 0.44, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Angel Oak Financial has a current ratio of 0.07, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Angel Oak's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity.
Angel Oak Financial has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
On 29th of November 2024 Angel Oak paid $ 0.109 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from news.google.com: KBRA Assigns Preliminary Ratings to Angel Oak Mortgage Trust 2024-13 - Yahoo Finance

Additional Tools for Angel Stock Analysis

When running Angel Oak's price analysis, check to measure Angel Oak's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Angel Oak is operating at the current time. Most of Angel Oak's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Angel Oak's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Angel Oak's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Angel Oak to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.