Fiplasto (Argentina) Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 294.16

FIPL Stock  ARS 341.00  13.00  3.96%   
Fiplasto's future price is the expected price of Fiplasto instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Fiplasto SA performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Fiplasto Backtesting, Fiplasto Valuation, Fiplasto Correlation, Fiplasto Hype Analysis, Fiplasto Volatility, Fiplasto History as well as Fiplasto Performance.
  
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Fiplasto Target Price Odds to finish below 294.16

The tendency of Fiplasto Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  294.16  or more in 90 days
 341.00 90 days 294.16 
about 18.4
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Fiplasto to drop to  294.16  or more in 90 days from now is about 18.4 (This Fiplasto SA probability density function shows the probability of Fiplasto Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Fiplasto SA price to stay between  294.16  and its current price of 341.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 79.78 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Fiplasto SA has a beta of -0.27. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Fiplasto are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Fiplasto SA is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Fiplasto SA has an alpha of 0.287, implying that it can generate a 0.29 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Fiplasto Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Fiplasto

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Fiplasto SA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
339.05341.00342.95
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
269.83271.78375.10
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
331.57333.52335.47
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
269.61306.58343.55
Details

Fiplasto Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Fiplasto is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Fiplasto's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Fiplasto SA, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Fiplasto within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.29
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.27
σ
Overall volatility
15.49
Ir
Information ratio 0.07

Fiplasto Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Fiplasto for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Fiplasto SA can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Fiplasto SA has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
About 74.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Fiplasto Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Fiplasto Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Fiplasto's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Fiplasto's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding71.4 M

Fiplasto Technical Analysis

Fiplasto's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Fiplasto Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Fiplasto SA. In general, you should focus on analyzing Fiplasto Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Fiplasto Predictive Forecast Models

Fiplasto's time-series forecasting models is one of many Fiplasto's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Fiplasto's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Fiplasto SA

Checking the ongoing alerts about Fiplasto for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Fiplasto SA help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Fiplasto SA has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
About 74.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Other Information on Investing in Fiplasto Stock

Fiplasto financial ratios help investors to determine whether Fiplasto Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Fiplasto with respect to the benefits of owning Fiplasto security.