Fiserv (Mexico) Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 4603.06

FISV Stock  MXN 4,460  51.12  1.16%   
Fiserv's future price is the expected price of Fiserv instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Fiserv Inc performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Fiserv Backtesting, Fiserv Valuation, Fiserv Correlation, Fiserv Hype Analysis, Fiserv Volatility, Fiserv History as well as Fiserv Performance.
  
Please specify Fiserv's target price for which you would like Fiserv odds to be computed.

Fiserv Target Price Odds to finish over 4603.06

The tendency of Fiserv Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over  4,603  or more in 90 days
 4,460 90 days 4,603 
about 1.96
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Fiserv to move over  4,603  or more in 90 days from now is about 1.96 (This Fiserv Inc probability density function shows the probability of Fiserv Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Fiserv Inc price to stay between its current price of  4,460  and  4,603  at the end of the 90-day period is roughly 2.16 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Fiserv has a beta of 0.37. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Fiserv average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Fiserv Inc will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Fiserv Inc has an alpha of 0.5152, implying that it can generate a 0.52 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Fiserv Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Fiserv

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Fiserv Inc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
4,4584,4604,462
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
4,0144,8654,867
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
4,6014,6034,605
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
4,2154,3834,551
Details

Fiserv Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Fiserv is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Fiserv's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Fiserv Inc, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Fiserv within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.52
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.37
σ
Overall volatility
439.20
Ir
Information ratio 0.20

Fiserv Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Fiserv for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Fiserv Inc can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Over 94.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors

Fiserv Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Fiserv Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Fiserv's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Fiserv's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding635 M

Fiserv Technical Analysis

Fiserv's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Fiserv Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Fiserv Inc. In general, you should focus on analyzing Fiserv Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Fiserv Predictive Forecast Models

Fiserv's time-series forecasting models is one of many Fiserv's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Fiserv's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Fiserv Inc

Checking the ongoing alerts about Fiserv for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Fiserv Inc help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Over 94.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors

Additional Tools for Fiserv Stock Analysis

When running Fiserv's price analysis, check to measure Fiserv's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Fiserv is operating at the current time. Most of Fiserv's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Fiserv's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Fiserv's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Fiserv to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.