First Investors Total Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 13.90
| FITVXDelisted Fund | USD 13.77 0.00 0.00% |
First |
First Investors Target Price Odds to finish over 13.90
The tendency of First Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 13.90 or more in 90 days |
| 13.77 | 90 days | 13.90 | about 41.21 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of First Investors to move over $ 13.90 or more in 90 days from now is about 41.21 (This First Investors Total probability density function shows the probability of First Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of First Investors Total price to stay between its current price of $ 13.77 and $ 13.90 at the end of the 90-day period is about 27.94 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon First Investors has a beta of 0.0647. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, First Investors average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding First Investors Total will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally First Investors Total has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. First Investors Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for First Investors
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as First Investors Total. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of First Investors' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
First Investors Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. First Investors is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the First Investors' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold First Investors Total, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of First Investors within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.09 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.06 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.18 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.63 |
First Investors Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of First Investors for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for First Investors Total can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| First Investors is not yet fully synchronised with the market data | |
| First Investors has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years |
First Investors Technical Analysis
First Investors' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. First Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of First Investors Total. In general, you should focus on analyzing First Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
First Investors Predictive Forecast Models
First Investors' time-series forecasting models is one of many First Investors' mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary First Investors' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about First Investors Total
Checking the ongoing alerts about First Investors for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for First Investors Total help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| First Investors is not yet fully synchronised with the market data | |
| First Investors has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years |
Check out Investing Opportunities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any mutual fund could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in real. You can also try the Odds Of Bankruptcy module to get analysis of equity chance of financial distress in the next 2 years.
Other Consideration for investing in First Mutual Fund
If you are still planning to invest in First Investors Total check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the First Investors' history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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