Five9 Inc Stock Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 43.19
| FIVN Stock | USD 41.28 0.33 0.79% |
Five9 |
Five9 Target Price Odds to finish over 43.19
The tendency of Five9 Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 43.19 or more in 90 days |
| 41.28 | 90 days | 43.19 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Five9 to move over $ 43.19 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Five9 Inc probability density function shows the probability of Five9 Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Five9 Inc price to stay between its current price of $ 41.28 and $ 43.19 at the end of the 90-day period is about 1.03 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.43 . This usually indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Five9 will likely underperform. Additionally Five9 Inc has an alpha of 0.2155, implying that it can generate a 0.22 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Five9 Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Five9
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Five9 Inc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Five9's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Five9 Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Five9 is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Five9's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Five9 Inc, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Five9 within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.22 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.43 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 4.42 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.09 |
Five9 Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Five9 for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Five9 Inc can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 910.49 M. Net Loss for the year was (81.76 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 412.05 M. | |
| Five9 Inc has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Over 99.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from zacks.com: Best Growth Stocks to Buy for November 25th |
Five9 Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Five9 Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Five9's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Five9's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 72 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 730.3 M |
Five9 Technical Analysis
Five9's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Five9 Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Five9 Inc. In general, you should focus on analyzing Five9 Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Five9 Predictive Forecast Models
Five9's time-series forecasting models is one of many Five9's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Five9's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Five9 Inc
Checking the ongoing alerts about Five9 for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Five9 Inc help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 910.49 M. Net Loss for the year was (81.76 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 412.05 M. | |
| Five9 Inc has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Over 99.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from zacks.com: Best Growth Stocks to Buy for November 25th |
Check out Five9 Backtesting, Five9 Valuation, Five9 Correlation, Five9 Hype Analysis, Five9 Volatility, Five9 History as well as Five9 Performance. You can also try the Portfolio Volatility module to check portfolio volatility and analyze historical return density to properly model market risk.
Is Application Software space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Five9. If investors know Five9 will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Five9 listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.79) | Earnings Share (0.49) | Revenue Per Share 13.567 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.148 | Return On Assets (0.02) |
The market value of Five9 Inc is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Five9 that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Five9's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Five9's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Five9's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Five9's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Five9's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Five9 is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Five9's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.