FIXEDzone (Czech Republic) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 138.31

FIXED Stock   140.00  3.00  2.10%   
FIXEDzone's future price is the expected price of FIXEDzone instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of FIXEDzone as performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out FIXEDzone Backtesting, FIXEDzone Valuation, FIXEDzone Correlation, FIXEDzone Hype Analysis, FIXEDzone Volatility, FIXEDzone History as well as FIXEDzone Performance.
  
Please specify FIXEDzone's target price for which you would like FIXEDzone odds to be computed.

FIXEDzone Target Price Odds to finish below 138.31

The tendency of FIXEDzone Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  138.31  or more in 90 days
 140.00 90 days 138.31 
about 1.53
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of FIXEDzone to drop to  138.31  or more in 90 days from now is about 1.53 (This FIXEDzone as probability density function shows the probability of FIXEDzone Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of FIXEDzone as price to stay between  138.31  and its current price of 140.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 1.88 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon FIXEDzone as has a beta of -0.1. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding FIXEDzone are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, FIXEDzone as is likely to outperform the market. Additionally FIXEDzone as has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   FIXEDzone Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for FIXEDzone

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as FIXEDzone as. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of FIXEDzone's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
138.31140.00141.69
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
119.06120.75154.00
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
141.61143.30144.99
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
138.50140.30142.10
Details

FIXEDzone Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. FIXEDzone is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the FIXEDzone's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold FIXEDzone as, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of FIXEDzone within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.11
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.1
σ
Overall volatility
5.06
Ir
Information ratio -0.15

FIXEDzone Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of FIXEDzone for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for FIXEDzone as can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
FIXEDzone as generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

FIXEDzone Technical Analysis

FIXEDzone's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. FIXEDzone Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of FIXEDzone as. In general, you should focus on analyzing FIXEDzone Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

FIXEDzone Predictive Forecast Models

FIXEDzone's time-series forecasting models is one of many FIXEDzone's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary FIXEDzone's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about FIXEDzone as

Checking the ongoing alerts about FIXEDzone for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for FIXEDzone as help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
FIXEDzone as generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Additional Tools for FIXEDzone Stock Analysis

When running FIXEDzone's price analysis, check to measure FIXEDzone's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy FIXEDzone is operating at the current time. Most of FIXEDzone's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of FIXEDzone's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move FIXEDzone's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of FIXEDzone to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.