First Keystone Corp Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Under 14.62
| FKYS Stock | USD 15.28 0.29 1.93% |
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First Keystone Target Price Odds to finish below 14.62
The tendency of First Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 14.62 or more in 90 days |
| 15.28 | 90 days | 14.62 | under 95 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of First Keystone to drop to $ 14.62 or more in 90 days from now is under 95 (This First Keystone Corp probability density function shows the probability of First Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of First Keystone Corp price to stay between $ 14.62 and its current price of $15.28 at the end of the 90-day period is under 4.
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the pink sheet has the beta coefficient of 1.44 . This usually indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, First Keystone will likely underperform. Additionally First Keystone Corp has an alpha of 0.2252, implying that it can generate a 0.23 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). First Keystone Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for First Keystone
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as First Keystone Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of First Keystone's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
First Keystone Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. First Keystone is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the First Keystone's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold First Keystone Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of First Keystone within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.23 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.44 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.39 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.09 |
First Keystone Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of First Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential First Keystone's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. First Keystone's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 5.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 499.5 M |
First Keystone Technical Analysis
First Keystone's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. First Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of First Keystone Corp. In general, you should focus on analyzing First Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
First Keystone Predictive Forecast Models
First Keystone's time-series forecasting models is one of many First Keystone's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary First Keystone's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards First Keystone in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, First Keystone's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from First Keystone options trading.
Additional Tools for First Pink Sheet Analysis
When running First Keystone's price analysis, check to measure First Keystone's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy First Keystone is operating at the current time. Most of First Keystone's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of First Keystone's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move First Keystone's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of First Keystone to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.