Floridienne (Belgium) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 562.5

FLOB Stock  EUR 560.00  5.00  0.88%   
Floridienne's future price is the expected price of Floridienne instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Floridienne performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Floridienne Backtesting, Floridienne Valuation, Floridienne Correlation, Floridienne Hype Analysis, Floridienne Volatility, Floridienne History as well as Floridienne Performance.
  
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Floridienne Target Price Odds to finish over 562.5

The tendency of Floridienne Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over € 562.50  or more in 90 days
 560.00 90 days 562.50 
more than 93.0
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Floridienne to move over € 562.50  or more in 90 days from now is more than 93.0 (This Floridienne probability density function shows the probability of Floridienne Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Floridienne price to stay between its current price of € 560.00  and € 562.50  at the end of the 90-day period is about 1.01 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Floridienne has a beta of -0.11. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Floridienne are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Floridienne is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Floridienne has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Floridienne Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Floridienne

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Floridienne. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
558.31560.00561.69
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
505.09506.77616.00
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
576.54578.24579.93
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
541.15558.00574.85
Details

Floridienne Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Floridienne is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Floridienne's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Floridienne, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Floridienne within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.1
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.11
σ
Overall volatility
30.64
Ir
Information ratio -0.14

Floridienne Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Floridienne for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Floridienne can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Floridienne generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Floridienne has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
About 87.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Floridienne Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Floridienne Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Floridienne's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Floridienne's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding107.5 M
Cash And Short Term Investments52.9 M

Floridienne Technical Analysis

Floridienne's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Floridienne Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Floridienne. In general, you should focus on analyzing Floridienne Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Floridienne Predictive Forecast Models

Floridienne's time-series forecasting models is one of many Floridienne's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Floridienne's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Floridienne

Checking the ongoing alerts about Floridienne for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Floridienne help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Floridienne generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Floridienne has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
About 87.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Additional Tools for Floridienne Stock Analysis

When running Floridienne's price analysis, check to measure Floridienne's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Floridienne is operating at the current time. Most of Floridienne's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Floridienne's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Floridienne's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Floridienne to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.