Fleetcor Technologies Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 306.97

FLTDelisted Stock  USD 267.93  2.72  1.00%   
Fleetcor Technologies' future price is the expected price of Fleetcor Technologies instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Fleetcor Technologies performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Investing Opportunities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in bureau of economic analysis.
  
Please specify Fleetcor Technologies' target price for which you would like Fleetcor Technologies odds to be computed.

Fleetcor Technologies Target Price Odds to finish below 306.97

The tendency of Fleetcor Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under $ 306.97  after 90 days
 267.93 90 days 306.97 
about 84.86
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Fleetcor Technologies to stay under $ 306.97  after 90 days from now is about 84.86 (This Fleetcor Technologies probability density function shows the probability of Fleetcor Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Fleetcor Technologies price to stay between its current price of $ 267.93  and $ 306.97  at the end of the 90-day period is about 83.53 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Fleetcor Technologies has a beta of -0.0768. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Fleetcor Technologies are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Fleetcor Technologies is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Fleetcor Technologies has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Fleetcor Technologies Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Fleetcor Technologies

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Fleetcor Technologies. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
267.93267.93267.93
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
237.99237.99294.72
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
260.96260.96260.96
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
264.33275.54286.75
Details

Fleetcor Technologies Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Fleetcor Technologies is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Fleetcor Technologies' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Fleetcor Technologies, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Fleetcor Technologies within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.03
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.08
σ
Overall volatility
12.16
Ir
Information ratio -0.11

Fleetcor Technologies Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Fleetcor Technologies for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Fleetcor Technologies can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Fleetcor Technologies is now traded under the symbol CPAY. Please update your portfolios or report it if you believe this is an error. Report It!
Fleetcor Technologies is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
Fleetcor Technologies has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
Fleetcor Technologies has 6.82 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 3.24, meaning that the company heavily relies on borrowing funds for operations. Fleetcor Technologies has a current ratio of 0.97, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Note however, debt could still be an excellent tool for Fleetcor to invest in growth at high rates of return.
Over 95.0% of Fleetcor Technologies shares are owned by institutional investors

Fleetcor Technologies Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Fleetcor Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Fleetcor Technologies' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Fleetcor Technologies' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding74.4 M
Cash And Short Term Investments3.1 B

Fleetcor Technologies Technical Analysis

Fleetcor Technologies' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Fleetcor Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Fleetcor Technologies. In general, you should focus on analyzing Fleetcor Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Fleetcor Technologies Predictive Forecast Models

Fleetcor Technologies' time-series forecasting models is one of many Fleetcor Technologies' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Fleetcor Technologies' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Fleetcor Technologies

Checking the ongoing alerts about Fleetcor Technologies for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Fleetcor Technologies help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Fleetcor Technologies is now traded under the symbol CPAY. Please update your portfolios or report it if you believe this is an error. Report It!
Fleetcor Technologies is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
Fleetcor Technologies has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
Fleetcor Technologies has 6.82 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 3.24, meaning that the company heavily relies on borrowing funds for operations. Fleetcor Technologies has a current ratio of 0.97, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Note however, debt could still be an excellent tool for Fleetcor to invest in growth at high rates of return.
Over 95.0% of Fleetcor Technologies shares are owned by institutional investors
Check out Investing Opportunities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in bureau of economic analysis.
You can also try the Portfolio Holdings module to check your current holdings and cash postion to detemine if your portfolio needs rebalancing.

Other Consideration for investing in Fleetcor Stock

If you are still planning to invest in Fleetcor Technologies check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Fleetcor Technologies' history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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