Flughafen Wien (Austria) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 53.24

FLU Stock  EUR 53.20  0.60  1.12%   
Flughafen Wien's future price is the expected price of Flughafen Wien instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Flughafen Wien Aktiengesellschaft performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Flughafen Wien Backtesting, Flughafen Wien Valuation, Flughafen Wien Correlation, Flughafen Wien Hype Analysis, Flughafen Wien Volatility, Flughafen Wien History as well as Flughafen Wien Performance.
  
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Flughafen Wien Target Price Odds to finish over 53.24

The tendency of Flughafen Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over € 53.24  or more in 90 days
 53.20 90 days 53.24 
about 49.59
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Flughafen Wien to move over € 53.24  or more in 90 days from now is about 49.59 (This Flughafen Wien Aktiengesellschaft probability density function shows the probability of Flughafen Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Flughafen Wien Aktie price to stay between its current price of € 53.20  and € 53.24  at the end of the 90-day period is about 1.64 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Flughafen Wien has a beta of 0.0193. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Flughafen Wien average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Flughafen Wien Aktiengesellschaft will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Flughafen Wien Aktiengesellschaft has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Flughafen Wien Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Flughafen Wien

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Flughafen Wien Aktie. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
52.0253.2054.38
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
48.1649.3458.52
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
51.9153.0954.27
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
52.1853.0453.90
Details

Flughafen Wien Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Flughafen Wien is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Flughafen Wien's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Flughafen Wien Aktiengesellschaft, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Flughafen Wien within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.06
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.02
σ
Overall volatility
0.97
Ir
Information ratio -0.15

Flughafen Wien Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Flughafen Wien for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Flughafen Wien Aktie can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Flughafen Wien Aktie generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Flughafen Wien Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Flughafen Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Flughafen Wien's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Flughafen Wien's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding83.9 M

Flughafen Wien Technical Analysis

Flughafen Wien's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Flughafen Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Flughafen Wien Aktiengesellschaft. In general, you should focus on analyzing Flughafen Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Flughafen Wien Predictive Forecast Models

Flughafen Wien's time-series forecasting models is one of many Flughafen Wien's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Flughafen Wien's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Flughafen Wien Aktie

Checking the ongoing alerts about Flughafen Wien for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Flughafen Wien Aktie help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Flughafen Wien Aktie generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Other Information on Investing in Flughafen Stock

Flughafen Wien financial ratios help investors to determine whether Flughafen Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Flughafen with respect to the benefits of owning Flughafen Wien security.