Flux Power Holdings Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 2.86
| FLUX Stock | USD 1.90 0.30 18.75% |
Flux |
Flux Power Target Price Odds to finish over 2.86
The tendency of Flux Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 2.86 or more in 90 days |
| 1.90 | 90 days | 2.86 | about 49.03 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Flux Power to move over $ 2.86 or more in 90 days from now is about 49.03 (This Flux Power Holdings probability density function shows the probability of Flux Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Flux Power Holdings price to stay between its current price of $ 1.90 and $ 2.86 at the end of the 90-day period is about 49.94 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 2.02 . This usually indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Flux Power will likely underperform. Additionally Flux Power Holdings has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Flux Power Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Flux Power
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Flux Power Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Flux Power's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Flux Power Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Flux Power is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Flux Power's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Flux Power Holdings, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Flux Power within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.96 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 2.02 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.41 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.15 |
Flux Power Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Flux Power for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Flux Power Holdings can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Flux Power Holdings generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Flux Power Holdings has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Flux Power Holdings may become a speculative penny stock | |
| Flux Power Holdings has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 66.34 M. Net Loss for the year was (6.74 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 17.1 M. | |
| Flux Power Holdings currently holds about 485 K in cash with (3.57 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.03. | |
| Flux Power Holdings has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Roughly 27.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: ROSEN, GLOBAL INVESTOR COUNSEL, Encourages Flux Power Holdings, Inc. ... |
Flux Power Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Flux Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Flux Power's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Flux Power's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 16.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 2.4 M |
Flux Power Technical Analysis
Flux Power's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Flux Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Flux Power Holdings. In general, you should focus on analyzing Flux Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Flux Power Predictive Forecast Models
Flux Power's time-series forecasting models is one of many Flux Power's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Flux Power's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Flux Power Holdings
Checking the ongoing alerts about Flux Power for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Flux Power Holdings help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Flux Power Holdings generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Flux Power Holdings has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Flux Power Holdings may become a speculative penny stock | |
| Flux Power Holdings has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 66.34 M. Net Loss for the year was (6.74 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 17.1 M. | |
| Flux Power Holdings currently holds about 485 K in cash with (3.57 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.03. | |
| Flux Power Holdings has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Roughly 27.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: ROSEN, GLOBAL INVESTOR COUNSEL, Encourages Flux Power Holdings, Inc. ... |
Additional Tools for Flux Stock Analysis
When running Flux Power's price analysis, check to measure Flux Power's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Flux Power is operating at the current time. Most of Flux Power's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Flux Power's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Flux Power's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Flux Power to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.