Franklin LibertyQ (UK) Probability of Future Etf Price Finishing Under 46.70

FLXU Etf   47.48  0.07  0.15%   
Franklin LibertyQ's future price is the expected price of Franklin LibertyQ instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Franklin LibertyQ Equity performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Franklin LibertyQ Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Franklin LibertyQ Correlation, Franklin LibertyQ Hype Analysis, Franklin LibertyQ Volatility, Franklin LibertyQ History as well as Franklin LibertyQ Performance.
  
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Franklin LibertyQ Target Price Odds to finish below 46.70

The tendency of Franklin Etf price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  46.70  or more in 90 days
 47.48 90 days 46.70 
about 89.67
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Franklin LibertyQ to drop to  46.70  or more in 90 days from now is about 89.67 (This Franklin LibertyQ Equity probability density function shows the probability of Franklin Etf to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Franklin LibertyQ Equity price to stay between  46.70  and its current price of 47.48 at the end of the 90-day period is about 7.04 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Franklin LibertyQ has a beta of 0.23. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Franklin LibertyQ average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Franklin LibertyQ Equity will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Franklin LibertyQ Equity has an alpha of 0.0736, implying that it can generate a 0.0736 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Franklin LibertyQ Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Franklin LibertyQ

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Franklin LibertyQ Equity. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
46.7847.4848.18
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
46.2646.9647.66
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
46.5347.2347.93
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
45.2946.4147.53
Details

Franklin LibertyQ Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Franklin LibertyQ is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Franklin LibertyQ's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Franklin LibertyQ Equity, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Franklin LibertyQ within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.07
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.23
σ
Overall volatility
1.32
Ir
Information ratio -0.02

Franklin LibertyQ Technical Analysis

Franklin LibertyQ's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Franklin Etf technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Franklin LibertyQ Equity. In general, you should focus on analyzing Franklin Etf price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Franklin LibertyQ Predictive Forecast Models

Franklin LibertyQ's time-series forecasting models is one of many Franklin LibertyQ's etf analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Franklin LibertyQ's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the etf market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Franklin LibertyQ in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Franklin LibertyQ's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Franklin LibertyQ options trading.
When determining whether Franklin LibertyQ Equity is a strong investment it is important to analyze Franklin LibertyQ's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Franklin LibertyQ's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Franklin Etf, refer to the following important reports:
Please note, there is a significant difference between Franklin LibertyQ's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Franklin LibertyQ is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Franklin LibertyQ's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.