Flywire Corp Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 18.0
| FLYW Stock | USD 20.41 0.58 2.76% |
Closest to current price Flywire long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration
Flywire |
Flywire Corp Target Price Odds to finish below 18.0
The tendency of Flywire Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 18.00 or more in 90 days |
| 20.41 | 90 days | 18.00 | about 38.28 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Flywire Corp to drop to $ 18.00 or more in 90 days from now is about 38.28 (This Flywire Corp probability density function shows the probability of Flywire Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Flywire Corp price to stay between $ 18.00 and its current price of $20.41 at the end of the 90-day period is about 35.94 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Flywire Corp has a beta of 0.84. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Flywire Corp average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Flywire Corp will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Flywire Corp has an alpha of 0.1918, implying that it can generate a 0.19 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Flywire Corp Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Flywire Corp
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Flywire Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Flywire Corp's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Flywire Corp Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Flywire Corp is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Flywire Corp's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Flywire Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Flywire Corp within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.19 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.84 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.54 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.06 |
Flywire Corp Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Flywire Corp for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Flywire Corp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Flywire Corp had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 403.09 M. Net Loss for the year was (8.57 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 181.44 M. | |
| Over 97.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from investing.com: Flywires SWOT analysis payment firms stock faces headwinds, eyes recovery |
Flywire Corp Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Flywire Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Flywire Corp's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Flywire Corp's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 114.8 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 654.6 M |
Flywire Corp Technical Analysis
Flywire Corp's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Flywire Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Flywire Corp. In general, you should focus on analyzing Flywire Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Flywire Corp Predictive Forecast Models
Flywire Corp's time-series forecasting models is one of many Flywire Corp's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Flywire Corp's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Flywire Corp
Checking the ongoing alerts about Flywire Corp for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Flywire Corp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Flywire Corp had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 403.09 M. Net Loss for the year was (8.57 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 181.44 M. | |
| Over 97.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from investing.com: Flywires SWOT analysis payment firms stock faces headwinds, eyes recovery |
Additional Tools for Flywire Stock Analysis
When running Flywire Corp's price analysis, check to measure Flywire Corp's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Flywire Corp is operating at the current time. Most of Flywire Corp's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Flywire Corp's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Flywire Corp's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Flywire Corp to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.