Future Metals (UK) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 3.5

FME Stock   0.95  0.00  0.00%   
Future Metals' future price is the expected price of Future Metals instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Future Metals NL performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Future Metals Backtesting, Future Metals Valuation, Future Metals Correlation, Future Metals Hype Analysis, Future Metals Volatility, Future Metals History as well as Future Metals Performance.
  
Please specify Future Metals' target price for which you would like Future Metals odds to be computed.

Future Metals Target Price Odds to finish over 3.5

The tendency of Future Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over  3.50  or more in 90 days
 0.95 90 days 3.50 
close to zero percent
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Future Metals to move over  3.50  or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Future Metals NL probability density function shows the probability of Future Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Future Metals NL price to stay between its current price of  0.95  and  3.50  at the end of the 90-day period is about 57.93 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Future Metals has a beta of 0.0696. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Future Metals average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Future Metals NL will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Future Metals NL has an alpha of 0.1367, implying that it can generate a 0.14 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Future Metals Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Future Metals

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Future Metals NL. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.050.953.77
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.040.843.66
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.020.963.77
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.851.061.27
Details

Future Metals Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Future Metals is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Future Metals' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Future Metals NL, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Future Metals within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.14
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.07
σ
Overall volatility
0.10
Ir
Information ratio 0.01

Future Metals Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Future Metals for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Future Metals NL can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Future Metals NL has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
The company reported the revenue of 78.39 K. Net Loss for the year was (3.94 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 293.37 K.
Future Metals generates negative cash flow from operations
About 19.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Future Metals NL Announces Director Resignation - TipRanks

Future Metals Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Future Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Future Metals' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Future Metals' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding434 M
Cash And Short Term Investments2.3 M

Future Metals Technical Analysis

Future Metals' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Future Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Future Metals NL. In general, you should focus on analyzing Future Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Future Metals Predictive Forecast Models

Future Metals' time-series forecasting models is one of many Future Metals' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Future Metals' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Future Metals NL

Checking the ongoing alerts about Future Metals for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Future Metals NL help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Future Metals NL has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
The company reported the revenue of 78.39 K. Net Loss for the year was (3.94 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 293.37 K.
Future Metals generates negative cash flow from operations
About 19.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Future Metals NL Announces Director Resignation - TipRanks

Other Information on Investing in Future Stock

Future Metals financial ratios help investors to determine whether Future Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Future with respect to the benefits of owning Future Metals security.