Financiere Moncey (France) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 117.29
| FMONC Stock | 138.84 0.40 0.29% |
Financiere |
Financiere Moncey Target Price Odds to finish below 117.29
The tendency of Financiere Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 117.29 or more in 90 days |
| 138.84 | 90 days | 117.29 | about 6.23 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Financiere Moncey to drop to 117.29 or more in 90 days from now is about 6.23 (This Financiere Moncey SA probability density function shows the probability of Financiere Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Financiere Moncey price to stay between 117.29 and its current price of 138.84 at the end of the 90-day period is more than 94.0 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Financiere Moncey has a beta of 0.2. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Financiere Moncey average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Financiere Moncey SA will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Financiere Moncey SA has an alpha of 0.231, implying that it can generate a 0.23 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Financiere Moncey Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Financiere Moncey
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Financiere Moncey. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Financiere Moncey's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Financiere Moncey Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Financiere Moncey is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Financiere Moncey's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Financiere Moncey SA, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Financiere Moncey within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.23 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.20 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 4.21 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.14 |
Financiere Moncey Technical Analysis
Financiere Moncey's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Financiere Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Financiere Moncey SA. In general, you should focus on analyzing Financiere Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Financiere Moncey Predictive Forecast Models
Financiere Moncey's time-series forecasting models is one of many Financiere Moncey's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Financiere Moncey's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Financiere Moncey in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Financiere Moncey's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Financiere Moncey options trading.
Additional Tools for Financiere Stock Analysis
When running Financiere Moncey's price analysis, check to measure Financiere Moncey's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Financiere Moncey is operating at the current time. Most of Financiere Moncey's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Financiere Moncey's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Financiere Moncey's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Financiere Moncey to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.