Matson Money Fixed Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 24.55

FMVFX Fund  USD 24.55  0.02  0.08%   
Matson Money's future price is the expected price of Matson Money instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Matson Money Fixed performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Matson Money Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Matson Money Correlation, Matson Money Hype Analysis, Matson Money Volatility, Matson Money History as well as Matson Money Performance.
  
Please specify Matson Money's target price for which you would like Matson Money odds to be computed.

Matson Money Target Price Odds to finish over 24.55

The tendency of MATSON Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 24.55 90 days 24.55 
about 72.87
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Matson Money to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 72.87 (This Matson Money Fixed probability density function shows the probability of MATSON Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Matson Money Fixed has a beta of -0.0033. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Matson Money are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Matson Money Fixed is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Matson Money Fixed has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Matson Money Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Matson Money

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Matson Money Fixed. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
24.4524.5524.65
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
23.6023.7027.01
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
24.4524.5524.65
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
24.5224.5424.56
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Matson Money. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Matson Money's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Matson Money's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Matson Money Fixed.

Matson Money Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Matson Money is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Matson Money's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Matson Money Fixed, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Matson Money within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.0046
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.0033
σ
Overall volatility
0.07
Ir
Information ratio -1.25

Matson Money Technical Analysis

Matson Money's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. MATSON Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Matson Money Fixed. In general, you should focus on analyzing MATSON Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Matson Money Predictive Forecast Models

Matson Money's time-series forecasting models is one of many Matson Money's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Matson Money's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Matson Money in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Matson Money's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Matson Money options trading.

Other Information on Investing in MATSON Mutual Fund

Matson Money financial ratios help investors to determine whether MATSON Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in MATSON with respect to the benefits of owning Matson Money security.
Technical Analysis
Check basic technical indicators and analysis based on most latest market data
Competition Analyzer
Analyze and compare many basic indicators for a group of related or unrelated entities
Economic Indicators
Top statistical indicators that provide insights into how an economy is performing
Top Crypto Exchanges
Search and analyze digital assets across top global cryptocurrency exchanges