Floor Decor Holdings Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 102.78

FND Stock  USD 94.27  1.43  1.54%   
Floor Decor's implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on Floor Decor Holdings. Implied volatility approximates the future value of Floor Decor based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in Floor Decor Holdings over a specific time period. For example, FND250516C00095000 is a PUT option contract on Floor Decor's common stock with a strick price of 95.0 expiring on 2025-05-16. The contract was not traded in recent days and, as of today, has 83 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $7.5, and an ask price of $8.3. The implied volatility as of the 23rd of February is 83.0. View All Floor options

Closest to current price Floor long PUT Option Payoff at Expiration

Current Price 94.27Strike Price 95Break Even 102.9100%
Floor Decor's future price is the expected price of Floor Decor instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Floor Decor Holdings performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Floor Decor Backtesting, Floor Decor Valuation, Floor Decor Correlation, Floor Decor Hype Analysis, Floor Decor Volatility, Floor Decor History as well as Floor Decor Performance.
  
At present, Floor Decor's Price Book Value Ratio is projected to slightly decrease based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Price Earnings To Growth Ratio is expected to grow to 1.99, whereas Price To Operating Cash Flows Ratio is forecasted to decline to 22.30. Please specify Floor Decor's target price for which you would like Floor Decor odds to be computed.

Floor Decor Target Price Odds to finish over 102.78

The tendency of Floor Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 102.78  or more in 90 days
 94.27 90 days 102.78 
about 50.2
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Floor Decor to move over $ 102.78  or more in 90 days from now is about 50.2 (This Floor Decor Holdings probability density function shows the probability of Floor Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Floor Decor Holdings price to stay between its current price of $ 94.27  and $ 102.78  at the end of the 90-day period is about 41.76 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.02 . This usually indicates Floor Decor Holdings market returns are highly-sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Floor Decor is expected to follow. Additionally Floor Decor Holdings has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Floor Decor Price Density   
JavaScript chart by amCharts 3.21.1571.8678.2283.9489.6794.76100.48105.57111.29117.01122.74Current PriceTargetFloor Decor Mean 0.010.020.030.040.050.06
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Floor Decor

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Floor Decor Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
91.2893.4395.58
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
84.84102.31104.46
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
88.9091.0493.19
Details
26 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
95.26104.68116.20
Details

Floor Decor Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Floor Decor is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Floor Decor's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Floor Decor Holdings, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Floor Decor within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.1
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.02
σ
Overall volatility
6.09
Ir
Information ratio -0.04

Floor Decor Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Floor Decor for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Floor Decor Holdings can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Floor Decor Holdings generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Floor Decor Holdings has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Over 98.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from benzinga.com: What the Options Market Tells Us About Floor Decor Hldgs

Floor Decor Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Floor Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Floor Decor's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Floor Decor's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding108.4 M
Cash And Short Term Investments187.7 M

Floor Decor Technical Analysis

Floor Decor's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Floor Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Floor Decor Holdings. In general, you should focus on analyzing Floor Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Floor Decor Predictive Forecast Models

Floor Decor's time-series forecasting models is one of many Floor Decor's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Floor Decor's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Floor Decor Holdings

Checking the ongoing alerts about Floor Decor for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Floor Decor Holdings help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Floor Decor Holdings generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Floor Decor Holdings has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Over 98.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from benzinga.com: What the Options Market Tells Us About Floor Decor Hldgs
When determining whether Floor Decor Holdings is a strong investment it is important to analyze Floor Decor's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Floor Decor's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Floor Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Is Home Improvement Retail space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Floor Decor. If investors know Floor will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Floor Decor listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.293
Earnings Share
1.9
Revenue Per Share
41.614
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.057
Return On Assets
0.033
The market value of Floor Decor Holdings is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Floor that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Floor Decor's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Floor Decor's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Floor Decor's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Floor Decor's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Floor Decor's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Floor Decor is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Floor Decor's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.
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