Fidelity New Jersey Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 11.63
| FNJHX Fund | USD 11.70 0.03 0.26% |
Fidelity |
Fidelity New Target Price Odds to finish below 11.63
The tendency of Fidelity Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 11.63 or more in 90 days |
| 11.70 | 90 days | 11.63 | about 54.09 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Fidelity New to drop to $ 11.63 or more in 90 days from now is about 54.09 (This Fidelity New Jersey probability density function shows the probability of Fidelity Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Fidelity New Jersey price to stay between $ 11.63 and its current price of $11.7 at the end of the 90-day period is about 31.92 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Fidelity New Jersey has a beta of -0.096. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Fidelity New are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Fidelity New Jersey is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Fidelity New Jersey has an alpha of 0.0181, implying that it can generate a 0.0181 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Fidelity New Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Fidelity New
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Fidelity New Jersey. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Fidelity New Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Fidelity New is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Fidelity New's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Fidelity New Jersey, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Fidelity New within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.02 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.1 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.07 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.53 |
Fidelity New Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Fidelity New for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Fidelity New Jersey can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| The fund retains about 97.65% of its assets under management (AUM) in fixed income securities |
Fidelity New Technical Analysis
Fidelity New's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Fidelity Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Fidelity New Jersey. In general, you should focus on analyzing Fidelity Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Fidelity New Predictive Forecast Models
Fidelity New's time-series forecasting models is one of many Fidelity New's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Fidelity New's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Fidelity New Jersey
Checking the ongoing alerts about Fidelity New for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Fidelity New Jersey help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| The fund retains about 97.65% of its assets under management (AUM) in fixed income securities |
Other Information on Investing in Fidelity Mutual Fund
Fidelity New financial ratios help investors to determine whether Fidelity Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Fidelity with respect to the benefits of owning Fidelity New security.
| Equity Analysis Research over 250,000 global equities including funds, stocks and ETFs to find investment opportunities | |
| Premium Stories Follow Macroaxis premium stories from verified contributors across different equity types, categories and coverage scope | |
| Portfolio Optimization Compute new portfolio that will generate highest expected return given your specified tolerance for risk | |
| Volatility Analysis Get historical volatility and risk analysis based on latest market data |