Fortnox AB (Sweden) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 74.66

FNOX Stock   75.56  0.56  0.75%   
Fortnox AB's future price is the expected price of Fortnox AB instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Fortnox AB performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Fortnox AB Backtesting, Fortnox AB Valuation, Fortnox AB Correlation, Fortnox AB Hype Analysis, Fortnox AB Volatility, Fortnox AB History as well as Fortnox AB Performance.
  
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Fortnox AB Target Price Odds to finish over 74.66

The tendency of Fortnox Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above  74.66  in 90 days
 75.56 90 days 74.66 
about 1.81
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Fortnox AB to stay above  74.66  in 90 days from now is about 1.81 (This Fortnox AB probability density function shows the probability of Fortnox Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Fortnox AB price to stay between  74.66  and its current price of 75.56 at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Fortnox AB has a beta of -0.26. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Fortnox AB are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Fortnox AB is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Fortnox AB has an alpha of 0.3683, implying that it can generate a 0.37 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Fortnox AB Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Fortnox AB

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Fortnox AB. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
73.0175.5678.11
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
57.1859.7383.12
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
80.1582.7085.24
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
60.5568.0975.62
Details

Fortnox AB Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Fortnox AB is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Fortnox AB's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Fortnox AB, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Fortnox AB within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.37
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.26
σ
Overall volatility
4.58
Ir
Information ratio 0.09

Fortnox AB Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Fortnox AB for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Fortnox AB can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 29.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Fortnox AB Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Fortnox Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Fortnox AB's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Fortnox AB's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding60.8 M
Cash And Short Term Investments373.3 M

Fortnox AB Technical Analysis

Fortnox AB's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Fortnox Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Fortnox AB. In general, you should focus on analyzing Fortnox Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Fortnox AB Predictive Forecast Models

Fortnox AB's time-series forecasting models is one of many Fortnox AB's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Fortnox AB's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Fortnox AB

Checking the ongoing alerts about Fortnox AB for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Fortnox AB help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 29.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Additional Tools for Fortnox Stock Analysis

When running Fortnox AB's price analysis, check to measure Fortnox AB's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Fortnox AB is operating at the current time. Most of Fortnox AB's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Fortnox AB's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Fortnox AB's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Fortnox AB to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.