Finnovate Acquisition Corp Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 10.85
| FNVT Stock | USD 11.65 0.03 0.26% |
Finnovate |
Finnovate Acquisition Target Price Odds to finish below 10.85
The tendency of Finnovate Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 10.85 or more in 90 days |
| 11.65 | 90 days | 10.85 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Finnovate Acquisition to drop to $ 10.85 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Finnovate Acquisition Corp probability density function shows the probability of Finnovate Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Finnovate Acquisition price to stay between $ 10.85 and its current price of $11.65 at the end of the 90-day period is about 89.05 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Finnovate Acquisition has a beta of 0.0587. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Finnovate Acquisition average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Finnovate Acquisition Corp will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Finnovate Acquisition Corp has an alpha of 0.0028, implying that it can generate a 0.002764 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Finnovate Acquisition Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Finnovate Acquisition
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Finnovate Acquisition. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Finnovate Acquisition's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Finnovate Acquisition Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Finnovate Acquisition is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Finnovate Acquisition's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Finnovate Acquisition Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Finnovate Acquisition within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.06 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.04 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.35 |
Finnovate Acquisition Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Finnovate Acquisition for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Finnovate Acquisition can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Finnovate Acquisition Corp currently holds about 604.19 K in cash with (786.64 K) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.03. | |
| Finnovate Acquisition has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Roughly 63.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Finnovate Acquisition Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Finnovate Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Finnovate Acquisition's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Finnovate Acquisition's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 13.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 37.00 | |
| Shares Float | 2.5 M |
Finnovate Acquisition Technical Analysis
Finnovate Acquisition's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Finnovate Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Finnovate Acquisition Corp. In general, you should focus on analyzing Finnovate Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Finnovate Acquisition Predictive Forecast Models
Finnovate Acquisition's time-series forecasting models is one of many Finnovate Acquisition's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Finnovate Acquisition's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Finnovate Acquisition
Checking the ongoing alerts about Finnovate Acquisition for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Finnovate Acquisition help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Finnovate Acquisition Corp currently holds about 604.19 K in cash with (786.64 K) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.03. | |
| Finnovate Acquisition has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Roughly 63.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Additional Tools for Finnovate Stock Analysis
When running Finnovate Acquisition's price analysis, check to measure Finnovate Acquisition's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Finnovate Acquisition is operating at the current time. Most of Finnovate Acquisition's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Finnovate Acquisition's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Finnovate Acquisition's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Finnovate Acquisition to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.