Amicus Therapeutics Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 17.73
| FOLD Stock | USD 10.19 0.06 0.59% |
Closest to current price Amicus long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration
Amicus |
Amicus Therapeutics Target Price Odds to finish over 17.73
The tendency of Amicus Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 17.73 or more in 90 days |
| 10.19 | 90 days | 17.73 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Amicus Therapeutics to move over $ 17.73 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Amicus Therapeutics probability density function shows the probability of Amicus Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Amicus Therapeutics price to stay between its current price of $ 10.19 and $ 17.73 at the end of the 90-day period is about 75.76 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Amicus Therapeutics has a beta of 0.53. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Amicus Therapeutics average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Amicus Therapeutics will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Amicus Therapeutics has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Amicus Therapeutics Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Amicus Therapeutics
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Amicus Therapeutics. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Amicus Therapeutics Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Amicus Therapeutics is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Amicus Therapeutics' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Amicus Therapeutics, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Amicus Therapeutics within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.23 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.53 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.73 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.11 |
Amicus Therapeutics Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Amicus Therapeutics for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Amicus Therapeutics can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Amicus Therapeutics generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Amicus Therapeutics has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 399.36 M. Net Loss for the year was (151.58 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 290.63 M. | |
| Amicus Therapeutics currently holds about 386.84 M in cash with (69.09 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.38. | |
| Amicus Therapeutics has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Over 99.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Wellington Management Group LLP Acquires 2,856,101 Shares of Amicus Therapeutics, Inc. - MarketBeat |
Amicus Therapeutics Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Amicus Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Amicus Therapeutics' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Amicus Therapeutics' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 295.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 286.2 M |
Amicus Therapeutics Technical Analysis
Amicus Therapeutics' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Amicus Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Amicus Therapeutics. In general, you should focus on analyzing Amicus Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Amicus Therapeutics Predictive Forecast Models
Amicus Therapeutics' time-series forecasting models is one of many Amicus Therapeutics' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Amicus Therapeutics' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Amicus Therapeutics
Checking the ongoing alerts about Amicus Therapeutics for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Amicus Therapeutics help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Amicus Therapeutics generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Amicus Therapeutics has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 399.36 M. Net Loss for the year was (151.58 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 290.63 M. | |
| Amicus Therapeutics currently holds about 386.84 M in cash with (69.09 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.38. | |
| Amicus Therapeutics has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Over 99.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Wellington Management Group LLP Acquires 2,856,101 Shares of Amicus Therapeutics, Inc. - MarketBeat |
Check out Amicus Therapeutics Backtesting, Amicus Therapeutics Valuation, Amicus Therapeutics Correlation, Amicus Therapeutics Hype Analysis, Amicus Therapeutics Volatility, Amicus Therapeutics History as well as Amicus Therapeutics Performance. For information on how to trade Amicus Stock refer to our How to Trade Amicus Stock guide.You can also try the FinTech Suite module to use AI to screen and filter profitable investment opportunities.
Is Biotechnology space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Amicus Therapeutics. If investors know Amicus will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Amicus Therapeutics listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (0.34) | Revenue Per Share 1.629 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.367 | Return On Assets 0.0116 | Return On Equity (0.67) |
The market value of Amicus Therapeutics is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Amicus that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Amicus Therapeutics' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Amicus Therapeutics' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Amicus Therapeutics' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Amicus Therapeutics' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Amicus Therapeutics' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Amicus Therapeutics is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Amicus Therapeutics' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.