PT Multi (Indonesia) Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 51.7
| FOLK Stock | 50.00 0.00 0.00% |
FOLK |
PT Multi Target Price Odds to finish over 51.7
The tendency of FOLK Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over 51.70 or more in 90 days |
| 50.00 | 90 days | 51.70 | about 60.49 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of PT Multi to move over 51.70 or more in 90 days from now is about 60.49 (This PT Multi Garam probability density function shows the probability of FOLK Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of PT Multi Garam price to stay between its current price of 50.00 and 51.70 at the end of the 90-day period is about 15.34 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon PT Multi Garam has a beta of -0.83. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding PT Multi are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, PT Multi Garam is likely to outperform the market. Additionally PT Multi Garam has an alpha of 0.0714, implying that it can generate a 0.0714 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). PT Multi Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for PT Multi
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as PT Multi Garam. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.PT Multi Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. PT Multi is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the PT Multi's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold PT Multi Garam, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of PT Multi within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.07 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.83 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 3.91 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.03 |
PT Multi Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of PT Multi for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for PT Multi Garam can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| PT Multi Garam generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| PT Multi Garam has high historical volatility and very poor performance |
PT Multi Technical Analysis
PT Multi's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. FOLK Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of PT Multi Garam. In general, you should focus on analyzing FOLK Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
PT Multi Predictive Forecast Models
PT Multi's time-series forecasting models is one of many PT Multi's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary PT Multi's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about PT Multi Garam
Checking the ongoing alerts about PT Multi for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for PT Multi Garam help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| PT Multi Garam generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| PT Multi Garam has high historical volatility and very poor performance |