Sentra Food (Indonesia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 99.33
| FOOD Stock | 116.00 1.00 0.85% |
Sentra |
Sentra Food Target Price Odds to finish below 99.33
The tendency of Sentra Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 99.33 or more in 90 days |
| 116.00 | 90 days | 99.33 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Sentra Food to drop to 99.33 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Sentra Food Indonesia probability density function shows the probability of Sentra Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Sentra Food Indonesia price to stay between 99.33 and its current price of 116.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 17.51 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Sentra Food Indonesia has a beta of -0.0823. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Sentra Food are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Sentra Food Indonesia is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Sentra Food Indonesia has an alpha of 0.0035, implying that it can generate a 0.003519 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Sentra Food Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Sentra Food
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Sentra Food Indonesia. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sentra Food Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Sentra Food is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Sentra Food's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Sentra Food Indonesia, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Sentra Food within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.08 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.55 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.07 |
Sentra Food Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Sentra Food for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Sentra Food Indonesia can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| The company reported the revenue of 91.56 B. Net Loss for the year was (12.76 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 27.69 B. | |
| Sentra Food generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| About 77.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Sentra Food Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Sentra Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Sentra Food's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Sentra Food's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 650 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.7 B |
Sentra Food Technical Analysis
Sentra Food's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Sentra Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Sentra Food Indonesia. In general, you should focus on analyzing Sentra Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Sentra Food Predictive Forecast Models
Sentra Food's time-series forecasting models is one of many Sentra Food's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Sentra Food's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Sentra Food Indonesia
Checking the ongoing alerts about Sentra Food for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Sentra Food Indonesia help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| The company reported the revenue of 91.56 B. Net Loss for the year was (12.76 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 27.69 B. | |
| Sentra Food generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| About 77.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Sentra Stock
Sentra Food financial ratios help investors to determine whether Sentra Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Sentra with respect to the benefits of owning Sentra Food security.