Footway Group (Sweden) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 0.3895

FOOT-B Stock  SEK 0.40  0.01  2.44%   
Footway Group's future price is the expected price of Footway Group instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Footway Group AB performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Footway Group Backtesting, Footway Group Valuation, Footway Group Correlation, Footway Group Hype Analysis, Footway Group Volatility, Footway Group History as well as Footway Group Performance.
  
Please specify Footway Group's target price for which you would like Footway Group odds to be computed.

Footway Group Target Price Odds to finish over 0.3895

The tendency of Footway Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above kr 0.39  in 90 days
 0.40 90 days 0.39 
about 81.83
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Footway Group to stay above kr 0.39  in 90 days from now is about 81.83 (This Footway Group AB probability density function shows the probability of Footway Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Footway Group AB price to stay between kr 0.39  and its current price of kr0.4 at the end of the 90-day period is roughly 2.5 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Footway Group has a beta of 0.96. This usually indicates Footway Group AB market returns are sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Footway Group is expected to follow. Additionally Footway Group AB has an alpha of 0.6968, implying that it can generate a 0.7 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Footway Group Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Footway Group

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Footway Group AB. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.020.419.52
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.020.389.49
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.010.469.56
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.380.440.51
Details

Footway Group Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Footway Group is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Footway Group's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Footway Group AB, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Footway Group within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.70
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.96
σ
Overall volatility
0.11
Ir
Information ratio 0.08

Footway Group Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Footway Group for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Footway Group AB can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Footway Group AB is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Footway Group AB has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Footway Group AB appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
The company reported the revenue of 1.5 B. Net Loss for the year was (59.4 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 844 M.

Footway Group Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Footway Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Footway Group's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Footway Group's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding88 M
Cash And Short Term Investments42.2 M

Footway Group Technical Analysis

Footway Group's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Footway Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Footway Group AB. In general, you should focus on analyzing Footway Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Footway Group Predictive Forecast Models

Footway Group's time-series forecasting models is one of many Footway Group's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Footway Group's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Footway Group AB

Checking the ongoing alerts about Footway Group for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Footway Group AB help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Footway Group AB is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Footway Group AB has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Footway Group AB appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
The company reported the revenue of 1.5 B. Net Loss for the year was (59.4 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 844 M.

Other Information on Investing in Footway Stock

Footway Group financial ratios help investors to determine whether Footway Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Footway with respect to the benefits of owning Footway Group security.