Verticalscope Holdings Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 7.45
| FORA Stock | 9.48 0.34 3.72% |
VerticalScope |
VerticalScope Holdings Target Price Odds to finish below 7.45
The tendency of VerticalScope Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 7.45 or more in 90 days |
| 9.48 | 90 days | 7.45 | roughly 2.36 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of VerticalScope Holdings to drop to 7.45 or more in 90 days from now is roughly 2.36 (This VerticalScope Holdings probability density function shows the probability of VerticalScope Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of VerticalScope Holdings price to stay between 7.45 and its current price of 9.48 at the end of the 90-day period is roughly 97.0 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon VerticalScope Holdings has a beta of 0.51. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, VerticalScope Holdings average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding VerticalScope Holdings will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally VerticalScope Holdings has an alpha of 0.0166, implying that it can generate a 0.0166 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). VerticalScope Holdings Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for VerticalScope Holdings
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as VerticalScope Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.VerticalScope Holdings Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. VerticalScope Holdings is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the VerticalScope Holdings' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold VerticalScope Holdings, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of VerticalScope Holdings within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.02 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.51 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.47 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.01 |
VerticalScope Holdings Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of VerticalScope Holdings for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for VerticalScope Holdings can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| VerticalScope Holdings had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| VerticalScope Holdings has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 60.9 M. Net Loss for the year was (4.95 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 45.67 M. | |
| About 28.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Christopher Michael Goodridge Buys 12,500 Shares of VerticalScope Holdings Inc. Stock - MarketBeat |
VerticalScope Holdings Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of VerticalScope Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential VerticalScope Holdings' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. VerticalScope Holdings' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 21.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 6 M |
VerticalScope Holdings Technical Analysis
VerticalScope Holdings' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. VerticalScope Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of VerticalScope Holdings. In general, you should focus on analyzing VerticalScope Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
VerticalScope Holdings Predictive Forecast Models
VerticalScope Holdings' time-series forecasting models is one of many VerticalScope Holdings' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary VerticalScope Holdings' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about VerticalScope Holdings
Checking the ongoing alerts about VerticalScope Holdings for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for VerticalScope Holdings help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| VerticalScope Holdings had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| VerticalScope Holdings has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 60.9 M. Net Loss for the year was (4.95 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 45.67 M. | |
| About 28.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Christopher Michael Goodridge Buys 12,500 Shares of VerticalScope Holdings Inc. Stock - MarketBeat |
Other Information on Investing in VerticalScope Stock
VerticalScope Holdings financial ratios help investors to determine whether VerticalScope Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in VerticalScope with respect to the benefits of owning VerticalScope Holdings security.