Forras Trust (Hungary) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 1660.00
| FORRB Stock | 1,660 30.00 1.84% |
Forras |
Forras Trust Target Price Odds to finish over 1660.00
The tendency of Forras Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 1,660 | 90 days | 1,660 | about 60.16 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Forras Trust to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 60.16 (This Forras Trust Investment probability density function shows the probability of Forras Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Forras Trust has a beta of 0.36. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Forras Trust average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Forras Trust Investment will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Forras Trust Investment has an alpha of 0.0737, implying that it can generate a 0.0737 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Forras Trust Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Forras Trust
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Forras Trust Investment. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Forras Trust. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Forras Trust's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Forras Trust's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Forras Trust Investment.Forras Trust Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Forras Trust is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Forras Trust's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Forras Trust Investment, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Forras Trust within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.07 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.36 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 98.33 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.01 |
Forras Trust Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Forras Trust for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Forras Trust Investment can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Forras Trust generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |
Forras Trust Technical Analysis
Forras Trust's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Forras Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Forras Trust Investment. In general, you should focus on analyzing Forras Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Forras Trust Predictive Forecast Models
Forras Trust's time-series forecasting models is one of many Forras Trust's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Forras Trust's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Forras Trust Investment
Checking the ongoing alerts about Forras Trust for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Forras Trust Investment help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Forras Trust generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |