Formula Systems 1985 Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 80.50
| FORTY Stock | USD 85.25 2.02 2.31% |
Formula |
Formula Systems Target Price Odds to finish below 80.50
The tendency of Formula Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 80.50 or more in 90 days |
| 85.25 | 90 days | 80.50 | about 59.42 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Formula Systems to drop to $ 80.50 or more in 90 days from now is about 59.42 (This Formula Systems 1985 probability density function shows the probability of Formula Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Formula Systems 1985 price to stay between $ 80.50 and its current price of $85.25 at the end of the 90-day period is about 31.48 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Formula Systems has a beta of 0.29. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Formula Systems average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Formula Systems 1985 will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Formula Systems 1985 has an alpha of 0.235, implying that it can generate a 0.23 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Formula Systems Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Formula Systems
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Formula Systems 1985. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Formula Systems' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Formula Systems Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Formula Systems is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Formula Systems' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Formula Systems 1985, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Formula Systems within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.23 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.29 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 4.30 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.05 |
Formula Systems Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Formula Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Formula Systems' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Formula Systems' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 15.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 528.2 M |
Formula Systems Technical Analysis
Formula Systems' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Formula Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Formula Systems 1985. In general, you should focus on analyzing Formula Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Formula Systems Predictive Forecast Models
Formula Systems' time-series forecasting models is one of many Formula Systems' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Formula Systems' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Formula Systems in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Formula Systems' short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Formula Systems options trading.
Additional Tools for Formula Stock Analysis
When running Formula Systems' price analysis, check to measure Formula Systems' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Formula Systems is operating at the current time. Most of Formula Systems' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Formula Systems' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Formula Systems' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Formula Systems to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.