Fp Newspapers Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0

FP Stock  CAD 0.47  0.00  0.00%   
FP Newspapers' future price is the expected price of FP Newspapers instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of FP Newspapers performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out FP Newspapers Backtesting, FP Newspapers Valuation, FP Newspapers Correlation, FP Newspapers Hype Analysis, FP Newspapers Volatility, FP Newspapers History as well as FP Newspapers Performance.
  
Please specify FP Newspapers' target price for which you would like FP Newspapers odds to be computed.

FP Newspapers Target Price Odds to finish below 0

The tendency of FP Newspapers Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to C$ 0.00  or more in 90 days
 0.47 90 days 0.00 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of FP Newspapers to drop to C$ 0.00  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This FP Newspapers probability density function shows the probability of FP Newspapers Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of FP Newspapers price to stay between C$ 0.00  and its current price of C$0.47 at the end of the 90-day period is about 12.59 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days FP Newspapers has a beta of 0.28. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, FP Newspapers average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding FP Newspapers will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally FP Newspapers has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   FP Newspapers Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for FP Newspapers

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as FP Newspapers. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.020.472.29
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.020.412.23
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.010.472.29
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.470.470.47
Details

FP Newspapers Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. FP Newspapers is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the FP Newspapers' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold FP Newspapers, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of FP Newspapers within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.25
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.28
σ
Overall volatility
0.02
Ir
Information ratio -0.16

FP Newspapers Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of FP Newspapers for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for FP Newspapers can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
FP Newspapers generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
FP Newspapers has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
FP Newspapers has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
Net Loss for the year was (3.22 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 884 K.
About 30.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

FP Newspapers Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of FP Newspapers Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential FP Newspapers' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. FP Newspapers' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding6.9 M
Shares Float4.9 M

FP Newspapers Technical Analysis

FP Newspapers' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. FP Newspapers Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of FP Newspapers. In general, you should focus on analyzing FP Newspapers Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

FP Newspapers Predictive Forecast Models

FP Newspapers' time-series forecasting models is one of many FP Newspapers' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary FP Newspapers' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about FP Newspapers

Checking the ongoing alerts about FP Newspapers for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for FP Newspapers help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
FP Newspapers generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
FP Newspapers has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
FP Newspapers has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
Net Loss for the year was (3.22 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 884 K.
About 30.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Additional Tools for FP Newspapers Stock Analysis

When running FP Newspapers' price analysis, check to measure FP Newspapers' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy FP Newspapers is operating at the current time. Most of FP Newspapers' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of FP Newspapers' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move FP Newspapers' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of FP Newspapers to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.