Flexshopper Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 1.19
| FPAY Stock | USD 1.98 0.13 7.03% |
FlexShopper |
FlexShopper Target Price Odds to finish below 1.19
The tendency of FlexShopper Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 1.19 or more in 90 days |
| 1.98 | 90 days | 1.19 | about 36.85 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of FlexShopper to drop to $ 1.19 or more in 90 days from now is about 36.85 (This FlexShopper probability density function shows the probability of FlexShopper Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of FlexShopper price to stay between $ 1.19 and its current price of $1.98 at the end of the 90-day period is about 62.9 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days FlexShopper has a beta of -0.57. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding FlexShopper are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, FlexShopper is likely to outperform the market. Moreover FlexShopper has an alpha of 1.1012, implying that it can generate a 1.1 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). FlexShopper Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for FlexShopper
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as FlexShopper. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.FlexShopper Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. FlexShopper is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the FlexShopper's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold FlexShopper, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of FlexShopper within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 1.10 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.57 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.24 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.20 |
FlexShopper Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of FlexShopper for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for FlexShopper can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| FlexShopper may become a speculative penny stock | |
| FlexShopper appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 116.98 M. Net Loss for the year was (4.23 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 102.06 M. | |
| FlexShopper currently holds about 5.27 M in cash with (6.66 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.24. | |
| FlexShopper has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Roughly 47.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: FlexShopper Announces Record Date for Proposed Rights Offering |
FlexShopper Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of FlexShopper Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential FlexShopper's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. FlexShopper's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 16.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 4.4 M |
FlexShopper Technical Analysis
FlexShopper's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. FlexShopper Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of FlexShopper. In general, you should focus on analyzing FlexShopper Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
FlexShopper Predictive Forecast Models
FlexShopper's time-series forecasting models is one of many FlexShopper's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary FlexShopper's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about FlexShopper
Checking the ongoing alerts about FlexShopper for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for FlexShopper help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| FlexShopper may become a speculative penny stock | |
| FlexShopper appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 116.98 M. Net Loss for the year was (4.23 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 102.06 M. | |
| FlexShopper currently holds about 5.27 M in cash with (6.66 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.24. | |
| FlexShopper has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Roughly 47.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: FlexShopper Announces Record Date for Proposed Rights Offering |
Additional Tools for FlexShopper Stock Analysis
When running FlexShopper's price analysis, check to measure FlexShopper's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy FlexShopper is operating at the current time. Most of FlexShopper's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of FlexShopper's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move FlexShopper's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of FlexShopper to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.