Fidelity Freedom Index Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 25.44

FPIPX Fund  USD 25.44  0.09  0.36%   
Fidelity Freedom's future price is the expected price of Fidelity Freedom instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Fidelity Freedom Index performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Fidelity Freedom Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Fidelity Freedom Correlation, Fidelity Freedom Hype Analysis, Fidelity Freedom Volatility, Fidelity Freedom History as well as Fidelity Freedom Performance.
  
Please specify Fidelity Freedom's target price for which you would like Fidelity Freedom odds to be computed.

Fidelity Freedom Target Price Odds to finish over 25.44

The tendency of Fidelity Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 25.44 90 days 25.44 
about 30.32
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Fidelity Freedom to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 30.32 (This Fidelity Freedom Index probability density function shows the probability of Fidelity Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Fidelity Freedom Index has a beta of -0.0311. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Fidelity Freedom are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Fidelity Freedom Index is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Fidelity Freedom Index has an alpha of 0.0244, implying that it can generate a 0.0244 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Fidelity Freedom Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Fidelity Freedom

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Fidelity Freedom Index. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
24.8525.4426.03
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
24.6325.2225.81
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
24.5425.1325.73
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
25.3325.4125.49
Details

Fidelity Freedom Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Fidelity Freedom is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Fidelity Freedom's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Fidelity Freedom Index, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Fidelity Freedom within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.02
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.03
σ
Overall volatility
0.33
Ir
Information ratio -0.16

Fidelity Freedom Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Fidelity Freedom for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Fidelity Freedom Index can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund retains 88.56% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities

Fidelity Freedom Technical Analysis

Fidelity Freedom's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Fidelity Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Fidelity Freedom Index. In general, you should focus on analyzing Fidelity Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Fidelity Freedom Predictive Forecast Models

Fidelity Freedom's time-series forecasting models is one of many Fidelity Freedom's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Fidelity Freedom's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Fidelity Freedom Index

Checking the ongoing alerts about Fidelity Freedom for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Fidelity Freedom Index help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund retains 88.56% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities

Other Information on Investing in Fidelity Mutual Fund

Fidelity Freedom financial ratios help investors to determine whether Fidelity Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Fidelity with respect to the benefits of owning Fidelity Freedom security.
Performance Analysis
Check effects of mean-variance optimization against your current asset allocation
Portfolio Comparator
Compare the composition, asset allocations and performance of any two portfolios in your account