Fpx Nickel Corp Stock Probability of Future OTC Stock Price Finishing Under 0.23

FPOCF Stock  USD 0.18  0.01  5.26%   
FPX Nickel's future price is the expected price of FPX Nickel instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of FPX Nickel Corp performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out FPX Nickel Backtesting, FPX Nickel Valuation, FPX Nickel Correlation, FPX Nickel Hype Analysis, FPX Nickel Volatility, FPX Nickel History as well as FPX Nickel Performance.
  
Please specify FPX Nickel's target price for which you would like FPX Nickel odds to be computed.

FPX Nickel Target Price Odds to finish below 0.23

The tendency of FPX OTC Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under $ 0.23  after 90 days
 0.18 90 days 0.23 
about 98.0
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of FPX Nickel to stay under $ 0.23  after 90 days from now is about 98.0 (This FPX Nickel Corp probability density function shows the probability of FPX OTC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of FPX Nickel Corp price to stay between its current price of $ 0.18  and $ 0.23  at the end of the 90-day period is about 91.15 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon FPX Nickel has a beta of 0.59. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, FPX Nickel average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding FPX Nickel Corp will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally FPX Nickel Corp has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   FPX Nickel Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for FPX Nickel

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as FPX Nickel Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of FPX Nickel's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.010.184.41
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.010.164.39
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
00.174.40
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.180.180.18
Details

FPX Nickel Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. FPX Nickel is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the FPX Nickel's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold FPX Nickel Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of FPX Nickel within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.23
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.59
σ
Overall volatility
0.01
Ir
Information ratio -0.07

FPX Nickel Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of FPX Nickel for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for FPX Nickel Corp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
FPX Nickel Corp generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
FPX Nickel Corp has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
FPX Nickel Corp has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Net Loss for the year was (3.84 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (4.6 K).
FPX Nickel Corp has accumulated about 13.12 M in cash with (1.66 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.06.
Roughly 32.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

FPX Nickel Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of FPX OTC Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential FPX Nickel's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. FPX Nickel's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding213.9 M

FPX Nickel Technical Analysis

FPX Nickel's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. FPX OTC Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of FPX Nickel Corp. In general, you should focus on analyzing FPX OTC Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

FPX Nickel Predictive Forecast Models

FPX Nickel's time-series forecasting models is one of many FPX Nickel's otc stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary FPX Nickel's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the otc stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about FPX Nickel Corp

Checking the ongoing alerts about FPX Nickel for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for FPX Nickel Corp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
FPX Nickel Corp generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
FPX Nickel Corp has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
FPX Nickel Corp has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Net Loss for the year was (3.84 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (4.6 K).
FPX Nickel Corp has accumulated about 13.12 M in cash with (1.66 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.06.
Roughly 32.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Other Information on Investing in FPX OTC Stock

FPX Nickel financial ratios help investors to determine whether FPX OTC Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in FPX with respect to the benefits of owning FPX Nickel security.