FAST RETAILCOSPHDR (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 2.80

FR7H Stock  EUR 2.80  0.10  3.70%   
FAST RETAILCOSPHDR's future price is the expected price of FAST RETAILCOSPHDR instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of FAST RETAILCOSPHDR 1 performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out FAST RETAILCOSPHDR Backtesting, FAST RETAILCOSPHDR Valuation, FAST RETAILCOSPHDR Correlation, FAST RETAILCOSPHDR Hype Analysis, FAST RETAILCOSPHDR Volatility, FAST RETAILCOSPHDR History as well as FAST RETAILCOSPHDR Performance.
  
Please specify FAST RETAILCOSPHDR's target price for which you would like FAST RETAILCOSPHDR odds to be computed.

FAST RETAILCOSPHDR Target Price Odds to finish over 2.80

The tendency of FAST Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 2.80 90 days 2.80 
about 45.32
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of FAST RETAILCOSPHDR to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 45.32 (This FAST RETAILCOSPHDR 1 probability density function shows the probability of FAST Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon FAST RETAILCOSPHDR has a beta of 0.49. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, FAST RETAILCOSPHDR average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding FAST RETAILCOSPHDR 1 will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally FAST RETAILCOSPHDR 1 has an alpha of 0.2351, implying that it can generate a 0.24 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   FAST RETAILCOSPHDR Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for FAST RETAILCOSPHDR

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as FAST RETAILCOSPHDR. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.142.807.45
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.122.437.08
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.062.907.55
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
2.672.752.84
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as FAST RETAILCOSPHDR. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against FAST RETAILCOSPHDR's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, FAST RETAILCOSPHDR's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in FAST RETAILCOSPHDR.

FAST RETAILCOSPHDR Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. FAST RETAILCOSPHDR is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the FAST RETAILCOSPHDR's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold FAST RETAILCOSPHDR 1, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of FAST RETAILCOSPHDR within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.24
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.49
σ
Overall volatility
0.17
Ir
Information ratio 0.04

FAST RETAILCOSPHDR Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of FAST RETAILCOSPHDR for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for FAST RETAILCOSPHDR can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
FAST RETAILCOSPHDR had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days

FAST RETAILCOSPHDR Technical Analysis

FAST RETAILCOSPHDR's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. FAST Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of FAST RETAILCOSPHDR 1. In general, you should focus on analyzing FAST Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

FAST RETAILCOSPHDR Predictive Forecast Models

FAST RETAILCOSPHDR's time-series forecasting models is one of many FAST RETAILCOSPHDR's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary FAST RETAILCOSPHDR's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about FAST RETAILCOSPHDR

Checking the ongoing alerts about FAST RETAILCOSPHDR for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for FAST RETAILCOSPHDR help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
FAST RETAILCOSPHDR had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days

Other Information on Investing in FAST Stock

FAST RETAILCOSPHDR financial ratios help investors to determine whether FAST Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in FAST with respect to the benefits of owning FAST RETAILCOSPHDR security.